Posts filed under ‘Currencies’

Trade and Invest Mind-Based – Not Emotional

We are all driven by emotions; however, when it comes to trading and investing, you should give yourself rules on which you act and not believes.

Intro NeverLossTrading Rule Based Decision Making

What are the dominant emotions driving private investors? Fear and Greed.

The fear of losing, paired with the greed of missing out on an opportunity.

When the Bitcoin was on the hype, I had many who asked for a quick tip – and my answer was: stay out; when the average person starts knowing about an opportunity, it is over and somebody needs to buy at the high – let it not be you.

On a recent advertisement for a trading system that is around since long, the following trade proposal was propagated for AAPL, trading with Vertical Put-Spreads:

  • Maximum profit: $1,100
  • Maximum loss: $1,900

When we calculate the outcome based on different probabilities over 10-trades, you will immediately see that the odds are not much in your favor, even so, the trade was proposed based on the idea that you make money if the share price goes up, moves slightly down, or goes sideways.

10 Trades Win/Loss  50:50  60:40  65:35
Reward 1100 -4000 -1000 500
Risk 1900      

Sure, AAPL is a great company with products we love, but we want to encourage you: stop falling in love or being emotional with investments. At a 65% probability to predict the future, you should not only reach breakeven, you should make money!

A simple basic rule for making money trading: The odds of the trade setup need to be in your favor and you need a system that helps you to predict the future with a high probability.

There are not risk-free trades, and the idea that you can find trades that have a more than two-times the reward, compared to the risk to take, are rare: about 5% to 10% of the opportunities we record. Hence, you are doomed to somewhere trade in the area of a 1:1 reward/risk.

How to make money this way?

By following a system that gives you high probability trade setups ≥ 65%, applying clear cut money management and risk management rules.

Sounds simple, doesn’t it?

It all starts with a system that records the price action of now and proposes when money is flowing in or out of an asset. For you to be part of the directional move, the system shall measure the potential price expansion, the statistical volatility (where to place the stop) and the maximum time in the trade: rule-based trading and investing.

The following examples show, how we initiate trades with buy-stop orders or sell-stop orders when the formulated price threshold is surpassed: Sell<0.7836 e.g., in the price development of the next candle. The stop is at the red-cross-bars. Find your target by a gray dot on the chart. Surely, additional rules apply, which we teach one-on-one, at your best available times.

AUD/USD NeverLossTrading TrendCatching Example

AUD_USD March 12, Example for NLT TrendCatching.png

Each of the highlighted trade situations allowed for an about 25 pip price move to target at a similar risk.

Let us demonstrate rule-based trading on a stock example:

AAPL NeverLossTrading Daily TrendCatching Chart

AAPL March 12, 2018.png

In five trade situations, we had four winning trades and one loss: high probability!

At each situation, the trade target was formulated and so was the stop. Only trades that were according to our reward/risk rule were accepted.

When you want to learn rule-based trading, we are happy to work on a live demonstration with you, where you can experience how our systems work at your preferred assets and time frames.

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or

If you are not already signed up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,


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March 12, 2018 at 10:17 am Leave a comment

Free Trading and Investing Webinar

As we begin a new year, many are planning their next trading moves. Join us on January 24, 2018, to hear what six different market commentators have to say regarding current trade ideas, strategies and the most profitable ways to make money in today’s market environment.

Register Here for the Traders Exclusive Event!

Event January 24, 2018


12:00 PM to 12:45 PM CT— Dan Cook of Nadex with “Managing Risk with Options

During his presentation, Dan will talk about the use of a unique, short-term option contract, which traders can use to precisely control risk and find opportunity without ever being stopped out again. Using Nadex Spread contracts on indices, commodities, currencies and even Bitcoin, traders can take both directional and direction neutral trades to take advantage of all market conditions.

12:45 to 1:30 PM CT— Rande Howell of Traders State of Mind with “Forging a Disciplined, Patient Mind for Dealing with the Uncertainties of Trading

Many traders come from a technical background where they were highly effective. Out of that experience grew a confidence in their abilities that they brought to trading. And that’s where the trouble began. Though they kept trying, the old skills simply didn’t work anymore. Rande will discuss what it takes for traders to move their old skill sets into the new skills needed for success in managing the uncertainty of trading.

1:30 PM to 2:15 PM CT Thomas Barmann of NeverLossTrading with “High Probability Trading and Investing in 2018

In his presentation, Thomas will talk about how to operate with a system that lets you find trading opportunities by spelling out clear-cut conditions for trade entry, exit and stops. He will discuss how to employ these strategies during multiple time frames as a day trader, swing trader or long-term investor.

2:15 PM to 3:00 PM CT – Matt Brown of with “Combining Market Profile with Elliott & Fibonacci to Identify Pinpoint Market Turns”

Matt will give a detailed look into how he has uncovered the rhythms of the futures market and turned that into a high probability order entry day trading plan complete with dynamic targets, trails and stops. Included in his presentation will be an explanation of short and intermediate term market cycles and an introduction to confluence techniques to identify support and resistance.

3:00 PM – 3:45 PM CT – Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading with “How to Cope with Margin Calls Using Options and Futures

Margin calls happen to the best of them, but there are often ways to alleviate margin deficits without adding money to the account or liquidating positions. Carley will discuss the nature of margin and margin calls while offering detailed strategies of using long and short calls and puts to reduce the margin in a trading account. Her presentation will cover what margin is, who sets it, why it is necessary and other topics.

3:45 PM – 4:30 PM CT – Frank Ochoa of PivotBoss with “Executing Precision Swing Trading Opportunities

Frank will discuss how to identify and execute high probability swing trades in any market. His presentation will focus on identifying the best reversals, how to negotiate your entry at the ideal trade location, and how to forecast precision targets based on the volatility of the instrument you are trading. These concepts and techniques can be applied in any timeframe and any market you choose to engage.

***Incredibly, there is no registration fee to attend this event. But, our space on the webinar is limited to 1,000 people. Since we can’t go over that limit, please be sure to register early and enter the room 15 minutes before the scheduled time (12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on January 24, 2018).***

REGISTER HERE for the Traders Exclusive Event!

If you want to learn how to integrate systematic trading and investment income into your skill base for 2018 forward, arrange for a free consultation hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or

Sign up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…click

We are looking forward having you at the webinar and hearing back from you,

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January 21, 2018 at 5:39 am Leave a comment

How to Predict and Trade Price Moves with High Probability

What probability are you trading on?

Learn: How to Predict and Trade Price Moves with High Probability

Join our Free Webinar and experience what is possible!

Date/Time: Wed., May 18, 4:30-5:30 p.m. EDT

Sign up here…click.

Mechanical System

By sharing proprietary content, there will not be a recording.


The vast majority: 85% of the financial markets are institutional money driven. Institutions always try to hide their footsteps; however, by the sheer size, they are identifiable and the private investor/trader can spot and trade along with them.

Successful trading is based on finding and following repetitive supply- and demand patterns: The price change you see is a result, not a variable and what we want to demonstrate, is how you can find and participate in directional price changes before they happen.

Prediction connects the subjective and the objective reality: This means, you can test what we show you in the real world: For you to compare how well you predict trade entries and exits today and how, what is shared with you, might make a change for your trading future.

Sign up here for the Thomas’ Webinar…click.

We are looking forward to having you and helping you to develop yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

For questions: Call +1 866 455 4520 or

To subscribe to our FREE trading tips, webinars, and reports…click here.

See you at the upcoming webinar,


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May 17, 2017 at 2:31 pm Leave a comment

Easy to Follow Day Trading and Swing Trading System

An easy to follow trading system shall offer you clearly defined entries, exits, and stops; right on the chart: Trade What You See!

In case you are still guessing about those, watch our 10-minute video and see what is possible for you.

If you are not yet signed up to our FREE Trading Tips, Webinars, Reports…sign up here.

To watch the video…click here.


We feature: our introductory system, which allows you to upgrade to any of our higher level stems, getting your entire tuition payment acknowledged.

NLT Trend Catching: Trade at the initiation and multiple times through the continuation of a price trend. Experience the system with newly added features.

If you like what you see in our video and you are ready to experience how our systems perform live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or

If you are not yet signed up to our FREE Trading Tips, Webinars, Reports…sign up here.

We are training and coaching one-on-one, spots are extremely limited, so do not miss out.

Good trading,

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March 24, 2017 at 6:03 am Leave a comment

Introduction to Activity Based Algorithmic Trading

Hi Trader,

2016 Trading is on and the markets are giving you fantastic opportunities to participate in shorter-term price moves.

NLT Top-Line Crude Oil  January 2015

How would it feel, to turn your money every second day?

Do you have instruments on hand that you take $100-risk increments to participate in price moves as shown on the chart above?

We just held a presentation at a Trader’s Exclusive Event and in case you missed it, here is a recording link; however, it will only be up for a couple of days. The video is not public, only available for your personal viewing with the following link:

Watch the recording by clicking here

When you are serious about trading check out how algorithmic trading, prior only available to institutions, can change your way to act in the markets as a private investor.

  • Detect financial leader’s buying and selling activities right on your chart.
  • Trade price action at meaningful time frames.
  • Pair this knowledge with sound money and risk management.

Watch the recording by clicking here or cut and past the following URL into your browser:

This was a free event and you are welcome to take us on the opportunity to schedule a personal consulting hour to experience how our systems work live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or Email Us!

When you like to see the entire session recording, use the following URL:

If you are not already part of our free trading tips, reports, and webinars, sign up here. 

Good trading,


January 22, 2016 at 7:57 am Leave a comment

How to Stay Engaged in Your Trading – Pre-Market Movers

In our series of how to stay engaged in your trading, today, we want to refer to assets with a price move prior to the US-market opening.

Many of the US listed stocks are traded on international exchanges. Based on that, institutions already set new price points prior to the US market opening.

Never be late for a trade

In the morning, between 8:30 a.m. and 9 a.m. east, some of you receive a report called NeverLossTrading Pre-Market Movers. Listed are assets with market pressure and we prefer trading those either on a 10-Minute chart or on a 4-hour chart.

The referring trading concepts are taught in our mentorships.

Your big advantage of receiving this report: You trade assets on the move.

NLT Pre-Market Movers for July 16, 2015 (yesterday)

Pre-Market Movers July 16, 2015

What you see are stocks, futures and Forex pairs, where our scanners and indicators found price pressure, which might lead to stronger directional price moves.

As said, we prefer to trade developing price moves on 10-minute and 4-hour charts. Here our yesterday’s results, following our entry and exit rules:

NLT Pre-Market Movers Alert Results on July 16, 2015

Pre-Market Movers July 16 Results, 2015

What is the return expectation?

Prior to getting there, let us run some numbers on trading days and opportunities:

  • We have about 250 trading days.
  • At 50 out of 250 days, nothing is happening: leaves us with 200 opportunities for trading.
  • On a 4-hour chart, in average, we are about two days in a trade.
  • With two days in a trade, this gives us 100 opportunities a year to participate in trades.
  • About 40% of the listed opportunities fulfill the set trade conditions.
  • When trading a 10-minute chart, all positions opened will be closed the same day.
  • To open and close about three positions per day, you need to find 600 trading opportunities a year.
  • When we trade on a daily chart, the average time in a trade is four days; hence, we assume to take 50 trades per year.

As a result, you need to develop 250 – 600 trading opportunities per year either on your own or you rely on a proven alert system like NLT Alerts.

Return Expectations, at winning two out of three trades:

Stock Return Calculation

On a return expectation, the 4-hour trade runs at par with daily trade, trading frequently at 10 minute charts, has a 2.4 times higher return expectation.

When you want to be part of learning to find and trade high probability trade setups, schedule your personal consulting hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or

Subscribe to our Pre-Market Movers or one of our other NLT Alerts…click.

If your aim is to achieve higher returns, leveraged products like Stock Options, Futures, and FOREX will be the right choice for you and we are happy to give you personal insights.

If you are not yet part of our trading tips and free webinars, please sign up here and we keep you up-to-date….sign up here.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Good trading,


July 17, 2015 at 7:47 am Leave a comment

Trading in Times of Ambiguity

Since the end of January 2015, SPY, our leading indicator for the stock market, remains in the Purple Zone; expressing ambiguity: Institutional leaders give no clear sign for directional price moves.

SPY Price Development 2015 (Weekly Chart)

SPY in Ambiguity 2015

However; we observe long weekly candles, which allow for shorter-term directional trades, while positioning trading is only advisable for assets with strong individual price moves. Independent individual movers on our watch list for next week are for example: AAL (however, DAL will declare earnings, which might have an impact), and EBAY.

As a consequence for next week, we favor 4-hour, 1-hour, 30-min and even 10-min trades over positioning trades.

Please build up your watch lists for stocks accordingly:

  • 4-hour trades from the last hour movers and long-term investor alerts, scans prior to 9 a.m. and 1 p.m. ET.
  • 1-hour trades from the last hour movers and the stock alert list.

On the side of Futures trading, we see market pressure at Stock Market Indexes, Bonds/Notes.

Currency traders, watch for moves in the AUD, JPY, and CND.

This question came to us: How important is the lower earnings declaration of AA (Alcoa) for the stock market development? Let us put the SPY (pink line) and Alcoa (red/blue line) on one chart:

SPY and Alcoa Price Development Compared on a Daily Chart

SPY and Alcoa July 2015

Since February of this year, Alcoa took and independent price move to the downside, which was not correlated with the overall stock market; hence, the influence of AA reporting 10% lower than expected earnings is not seen as significant for the price development of the overall stock market.

For your next week’s trading, please consider that a new earnings season just started. Hence, trade carefully and consider protecting long-term positions over earnings.

The financial markets have their complexity; however, we help you to de-complex them by focusing on spotting and following institutional money moves. If you like to learn how you can do this on your own, check our offering: and feel free to schedule your personal consulting hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or

If you are not yet part of our trading tips and free webinars, please sign up here and we keep you up-to-date….sign up here.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Good trading,


July 11, 2015 at 10:08 am Leave a comment