Posts filed under ‘Day Trading’

Success Principles for Trading and Investing

There is a formula, a composition for trading and investing success.

It takes training, systems, systematics, and effort; but it is learnable and doable.

Success Principles by NeverLossTrading

On our recent webinar, we shared the key elements of Trading and Investing success. We understand that not all of you had the time to participate and unfortunately our webinar provider does not offer a recording.

To bring you on board with what matters, we put together a short article.

All you need to do is entering your email address and it will get sent to you.

Send me the summary…click (only available until June 4, 2018)

This is inside?

  • How to operate with a high probability to predict the future price move of an asset.
  • Risk management by reward/risk expectation.
  • Position sizing or money management.
  • Repair and hedge strategies.
  • A business plan (guideline) for trading success.
  • Find clear advice for the attitude and behavior needed to establish your trading and investing future.

Download your free summary…click (only available until June 4, 2018).

For questions contact us:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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May 31, 2018 at 8:17 am Leave a comment

Are You Striving for Trading and Investing Success?

If yes, join us at our Free Webinar and learn the

Success Principles: Day Trading to Long-Term Investing

Tuesday, May 29, 2018, 4:30PM EDT

Presenter: Thomas F. Barmann of NeverLossTrading (10-years in business)

Success Principles by NeverLossTrading

To Register, Click Here

This is what you will learn:

  • How to operate with a high probability trading system, giving you at or above 65% probability to predict the future price move. Price changes have an underlying measurable pre-phase and continuation phase. Our algorithms highlight those happenings and you learn to follow them with clear-cut Entries, Exits, and Stops. We show you examples and offer you live experiences.
  • Risk management is the key essence of successful trading; learn how to put it in place.
  • Position sizing or money management: let us show you how it shall be done.
  • Repair and hedge strategies are imperative for successful traders and investors.
  • Operate with a business plan for trading success (A clear-cut guideline to success).
  • Find clear advice for the attitude and behavior needed to establish your trading and investing future.

Join our presentation and experience the success principles CRITICAL for trading and investing.

We are looking forward having you at our event.

See you online on Tuesday, May 29, 2018, at 4:30 p.m. EDT

To contact us:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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May 25, 2018 at 7:05 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing Due Diligence

Imagine, you want to buy a company: what will you do?

You will follow a process of a due diligence – steps of appraising your investment decision. You owe this to your lenders and to you; else no money shall be invested; because the expectation to achieve the desired return is doubtful.

Due Diligence by NeverLossTrading

However, when you invest in a stock, do you follow a simple process of appraising why you shall buy the stock or any other asset; deciding fact-based, IF and at which price to buy and re-sell the stock again?

Our period for the free Guide to Being a Trader or Investor ended.

We hope you enjoy our free gift, let us know if we can be of service to you:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

April 26, 2018 at 10:45 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing in Times of Volatility

Since the beginning of 2018, the US-stock market gives traders and investors a challenge that was not present for a long time: increasing volatility.

There are different ways of expressing volatility: Commonly the VIX (CBOE Market Volatility Index) is taken as the volatility measure; however, besides a short spark in February, the VIX still dwells below 20, which is considered low volatility.

Volatility  by NeverLossTrading.png

On the other hand, we do not need to rely on what the index says to understand if volatility increased or not. Just take a monthly chart and look at the size candles of the core stock market index, then you see what is happening:

NLT TrendCatching Chart for SPX (S&P 500 Index), October 2016 to April 2018

SPX Monthly Chart April 2018.png

The chart shows you multiple buy signals along the up move until the S&P 500 reached its high in January 2018. In March of 2018, a first sell signal occurred.

How to read the NeverLossTrading Trend Catching Chart:

  • With the NLT system, you trade or invest when the formulated price threshold is surpassed in the price-move of the next candle: Buy>$2519.40 was indicated end of September 2017 and confirmed in October 2017, leading to going long in the index and we closed the position when the price reached the gray target dot at $2590.40; concluding a 71-point price move. End of November 2017, another price threshold was formulated and confirmed in the next candle and came to target. The last buy signal on the chart: Buy>$2877.90 was final and no more confirmed.
  • By the change in color, a momentum change came on the chart, resulting in a first sell signal: Sell<$2585.90.
  • The bottom study: NeverLossTrading Balance of Power Indicator, tells you in blue that buyers were in command (blue bars), until in February 2018, when sellers were more dominant.

All NLT charts auto-adjust and signal directional trading opportunities, regardless of the asset or time frame you choose.

Back to volatility:

When you look at the size of the 2018 monthly candles, you recognize that they are significantly bigger (top-to-bottom) than all the candles we have seen in the prior months: telling you that volatility increased, and as a trader or investor, you better have strategies on hand to deal with times of higher volatility.

Why do we make this point?

In times of higher volatility, when keeping the same risk tolerance, your risk of getting stopped out in your trades increases; thus you need new trading strategies to cope with the new risk gauge to bring your trades to target.

When trading or investing, we make assumptions, predicting potential directional price moves, while we cannot influence if the price gets to our target; however, we can control the risk by the trading strategy we apply: Meaning, if you prior operated with a 2% stop, in times of volatility, a 5% stop might be needed to follow the predominant price move.

If the increased volatility brings you outside of your risk tolerance, you have multiple choices to still trade and invest:

  • Decrease your position size.
  • Reduce the time frame you base your trading decisions on.
  • Choose option strategies that allow a limited-risk and directional reward opportunity.
  • Change to trading strategies that function best at times of volatility.

The last point might be a bit ambiguous, so let us throw an example.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Index on 4/13/2018 with NLT Top-Line and TrendCatching Signals

ES April 13 Ranges

Each price move captured on the chart resulted in a $250 gain/risk based on one futures contract. Just add up the realized directional opportunities of one trading day and you see; how a change in trading strategies can accelerate your opportunities to participate in directional price moves of the underlying multiple times a day.

This is where we come into play and help you to have the trading strategies, systems, and systematics on hand to cope with every trade environment.

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 17, 2018 at 5:48 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing Behavior

30-minutes to change your trading and investing future.

You will only make money trading or investing with the right systematics, attitude, and behavior.

This presentation shows you what is needed and helps you to fill your voids to turn yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

Watch the video…click.

Trading and Investing Behavior.png

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here…click 

Contact us:  Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

March 21, 2018 at 6:44 am Leave a comment

Trade and Invest Mind-Based – Not Emotional

We are all driven by emotions; however, when it comes to trading and investing, you should give yourself rules on which you act and not believes.

Intro NeverLossTrading Rule Based Decision Making

What are the dominant emotions driving private investors? Fear and Greed.

The fear of losing, paired with the greed of missing out on an opportunity.

When the Bitcoin was on the hype, I had many who asked for a quick tip – and my answer was: stay out; when the average person starts knowing about an opportunity, it is over and somebody needs to buy at the high – let it not be you.

On a recent advertisement for a trading system that is around since long, the following trade proposal was propagated for AAPL, trading with Vertical Put-Spreads:

  • Maximum profit: $1,100
  • Maximum loss: $1,900

When we calculate the outcome based on different probabilities over 10-trades, you will immediately see that the odds are not much in your favor, even so, the trade was proposed based on the idea that you make money if the share price goes up, moves slightly down, or goes sideways.

10 Trades Win/Loss  50:50  60:40  65:35
Reward 1100 -4000 -1000 500
Risk 1900      

Sure, AAPL is a great company with products we love, but we want to encourage you: stop falling in love or being emotional with investments. At a 65% probability to predict the future, you should not only reach breakeven, you should make money!

A simple basic rule for making money trading: The odds of the trade setup need to be in your favor and you need a system that helps you to predict the future with a high probability.

There are not risk-free trades, and the idea that you can find trades that have a more than two-times the reward, compared to the risk to take, are rare: about 5% to 10% of the opportunities we record. Hence, you are doomed to somewhere trade in the area of a 1:1 reward/risk.

How to make money this way?

By following a system that gives you high probability trade setups ≥ 65%, applying clear cut money management and risk management rules.

Sounds simple, doesn’t it?

It all starts with a system that records the price action of now and proposes when money is flowing in or out of an asset. For you to be part of the directional move, the system shall measure the potential price expansion, the statistical volatility (where to place the stop) and the maximum time in the trade: rule-based trading and investing.

The following examples show, how we initiate trades with buy-stop orders or sell-stop orders when the formulated price threshold is surpassed: Sell<0.7836 e.g., in the price development of the next candle. The stop is at the red-cross-bars. Find your target by a gray dot on the chart. Surely, additional rules apply, which we teach one-on-one, at your best available times.

AUD/USD NeverLossTrading TrendCatching Example

AUD_USD March 12, Example for NLT TrendCatching.png

Each of the highlighted trade situations allowed for an about 25 pip price move to target at a similar risk.

Let us demonstrate rule-based trading on a stock example:

AAPL NeverLossTrading Daily TrendCatching Chart

AAPL March 12, 2018.png

In five trade situations, we had four winning trades and one loss: high probability!

At each situation, the trade target was formulated and so was the stop. Only trades that were according to our reward/risk rule were accepted.

When you want to learn rule-based trading, we are happy to work on a live demonstration with you, where you can experience how our systems work at your preferred assets and time frames.

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already signed up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

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March 12, 2018 at 10:17 am Leave a comment

What it takes to be a Trader or Investor

If you want to know what is needed to turn you into the trader or investor you want to be, listen well and read the following documentation.

At times, we play a high probability game, where we let people bet on a draw of marbles from a bag. In a bag of 20 marbles and we put marble back after the draw, keeping the same ratio:

  • 13 green marbles that win.
  • 7 red marbles that lose.

Thus, you have a high chance of winning; however, watch the video or read on to experience what happened in reality.

Bag of Marbles Intro

The shocking results:

Starting out with a paper money account, after 20 games, 60% of the people had less money than they started out with; 30% in average even went broke.

Statistically, how many people should have made more money than they started out with?

To answer this, we rely on the Bernoulli-Experiment, which gives us after 20 draws an expectation that 87.8% of the participants, using a 65%-probability to win, should have made more money than they started out with.

Why did this not happen?

Making money requires risk management (appropriate risk per trade), money management (position sizing) and more. If you do not have those skills in your repertoire, you most probably end up not having a chance to produce the returns that you expect.

However, the financial markets do not offer you easy and equal opportunities. The pros are prepared to take your money.

When you trade or invest, the ones who accept your trade are prepared to win; minimizing your chances for positive results. Institutions dominate the game and when you want to enter into a professional business, you better be prepared.

This is where we can help you to turn yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

We provide you with high probability trading systems: ≥65% likelihood to project strong directional price moves, with the required training and coaching to let you act as mechanical as possible, playing par-to-par with the pros, with the odds in your favor.

Let us pull up a chart and see if you would be able to follow those signals:

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures, February 2, 2018, 20-Minute Chart

ES 20 Minute Chart for February 2, 2018

One of our key slogans is: Let the chart tell when to buy or sell!

Do you use a system and does it provide you with the same (clear cut entries, exits, and stops)?

When you learn to trade and invest the NeverLossTrading way, you get this:

  • Follow high probability trade setups to the up and downside, with pre-defined entries, exits, and stops or price adjustment levels.
  • Learn one-on-one at your best available days and times.
  • Apply a business plan for trading success:
    • Financial plan: Expected return based on the number of trades or investments per time-unit.
    • Action plan: How to prepare for your trades to conveniently even act when conditions are met; without the need of being in front of your computer at entry or exit.
  • Getting all signals, scanners and more installed into a free real-time database.
  • Make risk management and money management a daily action, preventing drawdowns and appropriate risk acceptance.
  • Apply multiple trading strategies based on the actual setup…and more (see below).

Does that only work for day trading?

Absolutely not: Our systems identify price move potentials at:

  • Pre-stages of a price move.
  • Initiation stages.
  • Continuation stages.

AAPL Swing Trading NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart, January 1 to February 2, 2018

AAPL January 1 - February 2, 2018

However, the system alone does not necessarily get you to where you want to be, and this is where we help you, with one-on-one training and coaching.

We hope you see now that many gears have to cut into each other to give you the chance to take money from the financial market’s long-term.

In a short summary: Answer for yourself if you already have everything in place, starting with a high probability trading system: Probability to predict future price moves with a higher than 65% likelihood, considering the following:

Overview of what it takes to be a Trader or Investor

System and Trading Strategies

Now that you see what it takes, the question is: Are you able to create this on your own or do you rather trust into a primer education provider (we are in business since 2008), who can help you to shorten your fairway to success: It took us more than 10,000 hours and more than 30 years of experience in putting it all together.

In case you do rather want to buy and hold positions, we can help you too. Take a look at the following chart:

AMZN NeverLossTrading Long-Term Investor Chart June 2015 to February 2018

AMZN Long-Term Investor Chart 2015 to 2018 (January)

If you like to learn how to act on clearly spelled out directional price move opportunities, take our offer and experience how our systems work live. Get a free demonstration:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Sign up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…click
We are looking forward to hearing back from you,
Thomas
www.NeverLossTrading.com
Disclaimer, Terms and ConditionsPrivacy | Customer Support

 

 

 

February 7, 2018 at 7:54 am Leave a comment

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