Posts filed under ‘Stock Market’

Are You Striving for Trading and Investing Success?

If yes, join us at our Free Webinar and learn the

Success Principles: Day Trading to Long-Term Investing

Tuesday, May 29, 2018, 4:30PM EDT

Presenter: Thomas F. Barmann of NeverLossTrading (10-years in business)

Success Principles by NeverLossTrading

To Register, Click Here

This is what you will learn:

  • How to operate with a high probability trading system, giving you at or above 65% probability to predict the future price move. Price changes have an underlying measurable pre-phase and continuation phase. Our algorithms highlight those happenings and you learn to follow them with clear-cut Entries, Exits, and Stops. We show you examples and offer you live experiences.
  • Risk management is the key essence of successful trading; learn how to put it in place.
  • Position sizing or money management: let us show you how it shall be done.
  • Repair and hedge strategies are imperative for successful traders and investors.
  • Operate with a business plan for trading success (A clear-cut guideline to success).
  • Find clear advice for the attitude and behavior needed to establish your trading and investing future.

Join our presentation and experience the success principles CRITICAL for trading and investing.

We are looking forward having you at our event.

See you online on Tuesday, May 29, 2018, at 4:30 p.m. EDT

To contact us:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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May 25, 2018 at 7:05 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing in Times of Volatility

Since the beginning of 2018, the US-stock market gives traders and investors a challenge that was not present for a long time: increasing volatility.

There are different ways of expressing volatility: Commonly the VIX (CBOE Market Volatility Index) is taken as the volatility measure; however, besides a short spark in February, the VIX still dwells below 20, which is considered low volatility.

Volatility  by NeverLossTrading.png

On the other hand, we do not need to rely on what the index says to understand if volatility increased or not. Just take a monthly chart and look at the size candles of the core stock market index, then you see what is happening:

NLT TrendCatching Chart for SPX (S&P 500 Index), October 2016 to April 2018

SPX Monthly Chart April 2018.png

The chart shows you multiple buy signals along the up move until the S&P 500 reached its high in January 2018. In March of 2018, a first sell signal occurred.

How to read the NeverLossTrading Trend Catching Chart:

  • With the NLT system, you trade or invest when the formulated price threshold is surpassed in the price-move of the next candle: Buy>$2519.40 was indicated end of September 2017 and confirmed in October 2017, leading to going long in the index and we closed the position when the price reached the gray target dot at $2590.40; concluding a 71-point price move. End of November 2017, another price threshold was formulated and confirmed in the next candle and came to target. The last buy signal on the chart: Buy>$2877.90 was final and no more confirmed.
  • By the change in color, a momentum change came on the chart, resulting in a first sell signal: Sell<$2585.90.
  • The bottom study: NeverLossTrading Balance of Power Indicator, tells you in blue that buyers were in command (blue bars), until in February 2018, when sellers were more dominant.

All NLT charts auto-adjust and signal directional trading opportunities, regardless of the asset or time frame you choose.

Back to volatility:

When you look at the size of the 2018 monthly candles, you recognize that they are significantly bigger (top-to-bottom) than all the candles we have seen in the prior months: telling you that volatility increased, and as a trader or investor, you better have strategies on hand to deal with times of higher volatility.

Why do we make this point?

In times of higher volatility, when keeping the same risk tolerance, your risk of getting stopped out in your trades increases; thus you need new trading strategies to cope with the new risk gauge to bring your trades to target.

When trading or investing, we make assumptions, predicting potential directional price moves, while we cannot influence if the price gets to our target; however, we can control the risk by the trading strategy we apply: Meaning, if you prior operated with a 2% stop, in times of volatility, a 5% stop might be needed to follow the predominant price move.

If the increased volatility brings you outside of your risk tolerance, you have multiple choices to still trade and invest:

  • Decrease your position size.
  • Reduce the time frame you base your trading decisions on.
  • Choose option strategies that allow a limited-risk and directional reward opportunity.
  • Change to trading strategies that function best at times of volatility.

The last point might be a bit ambiguous, so let us throw an example.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Index on 4/13/2018 with NLT Top-Line and TrendCatching Signals

ES April 13 Ranges

Each price move captured on the chart resulted in a $250 gain/risk based on one futures contract. Just add up the realized directional opportunities of one trading day and you see; how a change in trading strategies can accelerate your opportunities to participate in directional price moves of the underlying multiple times a day.

This is where we come into play and help you to have the trading strategies, systems, and systematics on hand to cope with every trade environment.

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 17, 2018 at 5:48 am Leave a comment

Option Trading for Private Investors

Options offer wonderful tools for private investors to participate in the price moves of the underlying stocks, futures, commodities, and currencies.

With options, you find a variety of trading opportunities by Calls, Puts at various strike prices and expiration dates; not to mention the ability to create multiple types of spreads and combinations to take advantage of different market conditions; however, we want to keep it simple and focus on using options for participating in directional price moves of the underlying assets and you can do this with any type of account, even IRA, custodian, or cash accounts.

Option Trading by NeverLossTrading.png

Thus, let us share with you how to find strong directional price move setups and explain the reasons for trading options instead of the underlying assets.

Focusing on a simple way of option-trading, we buy Calls to participate in price moves to the upside and we buy Puts for price moves to the downside.

What will be your advantage of buying options over buying or selling the asset?

Our answers are multifold:

  • You can limit your maximum risk to the premium paid.
  • Options allow you to only invest a fraction: 1% – 5% of the asset price.
  • You operate with leverage, striving for 30% – 200% return per trade.
  • Trades can be repaired when they do not work: reducing losses or even turning losers into winners.
  • There is no uptick rule for buying or selling options and thus, you can participate in price moves to the downside in any type of account and market condition.

Your key to successful option-trading is your ability to repetitively predict directional price moves with a high accuracy.

This is where a trading system comes into play and you best only consider trading systems that offer you the following:

  • A ≥ 65% probability to predict the future price move of an asset.
  • Trading/investing at specific and confirmed entry conditions only.
  • At entry, you receive specific target prices, reachable in a pre-defined period of time.
  • Operating with specific stop price levels, where you either exit your trade or you start repairing it.

For option traders, the element of high predictability of a price move at a pre-specified time period is important: At whatever strike price you buy Puts or Calls, you are always paying a time value; which is decaying, taking away from your investment even so the underlying asset price might not even move in your disfavor.

Let us put together two examples:

TSLA Daily NLT-Top Line Chart March 5 to March 29, 2018

TSLA NLT Top Line March 30, 2018

The chart shows you on 3/14/2018 a trade condition: Sell <$323.92 (CiC expresses a change in command; sellers take over from buyers at this setup). Thus you can operate with a clear-cut entry-level condition: When the price-move of the next candle surpasses the set price threshold, go short in the asset (TSLA) through buying Puts.

The trade entry condition was met in the next candle/bar on 3/15/2018 and thus confirmed the trade entry. By the system conditions, you know the maximum and favorable price to pay for the option and the time to expiration to decide for. We teach those details, concepts, and strategies in our mentorships and give you the tools on hand for taking solid trading and investing decisions.

Where is the magic in trading options?

Let us explain:

  1. You are able to participate in the downside price move of TSLA without the need to comply with SEC regulations that do not allow sorting stocks with account holdings < $25,000, or in an IRA, or cash accounts.
  2. No need to borrow TSLA stock from your broker, with the risk that it might not be available for you.
  3. The NLT system conditions specified at the chosen instance, the maximum price to pay for TSLA Put options at $14; favorably at $7:
  • When accepting the trade, Puts were available at $7.22 and such the price to pay was in spec. (the NLT chart dashboard expresses those price levels).
  • In essence, your minimum investment to participate in the price move of TSLA was 2.2% of the share price at entry (just a fraction); asking you for a $722 investment, which is more or less the price of two shares and you control 100.
  1. By NLT Top-Line, we assume to reach the price target-1 after a maximum time in the trade of five bars/candles.
  • Actually, the price moved to target-1in three bars, producing a 70% return on investment.
  • Price target-2 was supposed to be reached after a maximum of 10 bars and was reached at bar-8, with a return on investment of 433%.

Next, we show you if you like to take a longer-term perspective, how the system can help you to make sound decisions with fractional investments:

MSFT Weekly NLT-Top Line Chart, November 2017 to March 2018

MSFT Weekly NLT Top-Line March 2018

The chart shows a buy threshold at Buy>$88.41, which was confirmed in the price move of the next candle, allowing the trade entry with Call options. This way, you can pre-condition your order so it only goes into the market when your conditions are met, at your pre-defined offering price. This way, you do not have a need to sit in front of your computer for the order entry.

By our system, we originally assumed to reach the target-1 after one to five bars and got there in two bars. Target-2 was reached at bar-3 (3-weeks later), with the following return expectations:

  • Return at target-1: 52%.
  • Return at target-2: 110%.

Again, you just had to invest a fraction of the share price: <2% and you were able to participate in the price move of the underlying in $160 investment increments.

We hope this shows you, how you can keep more of your own money and make better than average returns… and fewer mistakes. NeverLossTrading provides you with the systems and knowledge to find such opportunities and to make those decisions. You stay in control as the markets move up and down, with at-a-glance guidance where the chart will tell, when to best buy or sell. Your trade potentials are either to be found by own scanners or by the NeverLossTrading Alerts (subscription service).

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 5, 2018 at 11:21 am Leave a comment

Trade and Invest Mind-Based – Not Emotional

We are all driven by emotions; however, when it comes to trading and investing, you should give yourself rules on which you act and not believes.

Intro NeverLossTrading Rule Based Decision Making

What are the dominant emotions driving private investors? Fear and Greed.

The fear of losing, paired with the greed of missing out on an opportunity.

When the Bitcoin was on the hype, I had many who asked for a quick tip – and my answer was: stay out; when the average person starts knowing about an opportunity, it is over and somebody needs to buy at the high – let it not be you.

On a recent advertisement for a trading system that is around since long, the following trade proposal was propagated for AAPL, trading with Vertical Put-Spreads:

  • Maximum profit: $1,100
  • Maximum loss: $1,900

When we calculate the outcome based on different probabilities over 10-trades, you will immediately see that the odds are not much in your favor, even so, the trade was proposed based on the idea that you make money if the share price goes up, moves slightly down, or goes sideways.

10 Trades Win/Loss  50:50  60:40  65:35
Reward 1100 -4000 -1000 500
Risk 1900      

Sure, AAPL is a great company with products we love, but we want to encourage you: stop falling in love or being emotional with investments. At a 65% probability to predict the future, you should not only reach breakeven, you should make money!

A simple basic rule for making money trading: The odds of the trade setup need to be in your favor and you need a system that helps you to predict the future with a high probability.

There are not risk-free trades, and the idea that you can find trades that have a more than two-times the reward, compared to the risk to take, are rare: about 5% to 10% of the opportunities we record. Hence, you are doomed to somewhere trade in the area of a 1:1 reward/risk.

How to make money this way?

By following a system that gives you high probability trade setups ≥ 65%, applying clear cut money management and risk management rules.

Sounds simple, doesn’t it?

It all starts with a system that records the price action of now and proposes when money is flowing in or out of an asset. For you to be part of the directional move, the system shall measure the potential price expansion, the statistical volatility (where to place the stop) and the maximum time in the trade: rule-based trading and investing.

The following examples show, how we initiate trades with buy-stop orders or sell-stop orders when the formulated price threshold is surpassed: Sell<0.7836 e.g., in the price development of the next candle. The stop is at the red-cross-bars. Find your target by a gray dot on the chart. Surely, additional rules apply, which we teach one-on-one, at your best available times.

AUD/USD NeverLossTrading TrendCatching Example

AUD_USD March 12, Example for NLT TrendCatching.png

Each of the highlighted trade situations allowed for an about 25 pip price move to target at a similar risk.

Let us demonstrate rule-based trading on a stock example:

AAPL NeverLossTrading Daily TrendCatching Chart

AAPL March 12, 2018.png

In five trade situations, we had four winning trades and one loss: high probability!

At each situation, the trade target was formulated and so was the stop. Only trades that were according to our reward/risk rule were accepted.

When you want to learn rule-based trading, we are happy to work on a live demonstration with you, where you can experience how our systems work at your preferred assets and time frames.

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already signed up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

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March 12, 2018 at 10:17 am Leave a comment

Free Trading and Investing Webinar

As we begin a new year, many are planning their next trading moves. Join us on January 24, 2018, to hear what six different market commentators have to say regarding current trade ideas, strategies and the most profitable ways to make money in today’s market environment.

Register Here for the Traders Exclusive Event!

Event January 24, 2018

 

12:00 PM to 12:45 PM CT— Dan Cook of Nadex with “Managing Risk with Options

During his presentation, Dan will talk about the use of a unique, short-term option contract, which traders can use to precisely control risk and find opportunity without ever being stopped out again. Using Nadex Spread contracts on indices, commodities, currencies and even Bitcoin, traders can take both directional and direction neutral trades to take advantage of all market conditions.

12:45 to 1:30 PM CT— Rande Howell of Traders State of Mind with “Forging a Disciplined, Patient Mind for Dealing with the Uncertainties of Trading

Many traders come from a technical background where they were highly effective. Out of that experience grew a confidence in their abilities that they brought to trading. And that’s where the trouble began. Though they kept trying, the old skills simply didn’t work anymore. Rande will discuss what it takes for traders to move their old skill sets into the new skills needed for success in managing the uncertainty of trading.

1:30 PM to 2:15 PM CT Thomas Barmann of NeverLossTrading with “High Probability Trading and Investing in 2018

In his presentation, Thomas will talk about how to operate with a system that lets you find trading opportunities by spelling out clear-cut conditions for trade entry, exit and stops. He will discuss how to employ these strategies during multiple time frames as a day trader, swing trader or long-term investor.

2:15 PM to 3:00 PM CT – Matt Brown of Newbie-Trader.com with “Combining Market Profile with Elliott & Fibonacci to Identify Pinpoint Market Turns”

Matt will give a detailed look into how he has uncovered the rhythms of the futures market and turned that into a high probability order entry day trading plan complete with dynamic targets, trails and stops. Included in his presentation will be an explanation of short and intermediate term market cycles and an introduction to confluence techniques to identify support and resistance.

3:00 PM – 3:45 PM CT – Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading with “How to Cope with Margin Calls Using Options and Futures

Margin calls happen to the best of them, but there are often ways to alleviate margin deficits without adding money to the account or liquidating positions. Carley will discuss the nature of margin and margin calls while offering detailed strategies of using long and short calls and puts to reduce the margin in a trading account. Her presentation will cover what margin is, who sets it, why it is necessary and other topics.

3:45 PM – 4:30 PM CT – Frank Ochoa of PivotBoss with “Executing Precision Swing Trading Opportunities

Frank will discuss how to identify and execute high probability swing trades in any market. His presentation will focus on identifying the best reversals, how to negotiate your entry at the ideal trade location, and how to forecast precision targets based on the volatility of the instrument you are trading. These concepts and techniques can be applied in any timeframe and any market you choose to engage.

***Incredibly, there is no registration fee to attend this event. But, our space on the webinar is limited to 1,000 people. Since we can’t go over that limit, please be sure to register early and enter the room 15 minutes before the scheduled time (12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on January 24, 2018).***

REGISTER HERE for the Traders Exclusive Event!

If you want to learn how to integrate systematic trading and investment income into your skill base for 2018 forward, arrange for a free consultation hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Sign up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…click

We are looking forward having you at the webinar and hearing back from you,

Thomas
www.NeverLossTrading.com
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January 21, 2018 at 5:39 am Leave a comment

Directional Trading

Dear Trader,

The way to produce trading returns is to get the price direction of an asset right: Stocks, Options, Futures, FOREX.
Easier said than done!
However, with the right system and systematic on hand, you can be in for high probability trading.
We summarized what to consider and how it can be done in 25 min video…click

The video will only be up for short, so do not miss out!

Rule Based Trading

With the help of our trading systems, training, and coaching, you experience:

  1. How high probability trade setups can be found based on the underlying pre-stage of a price move.
  2. The importance of projecting at entry how far the price move shall reach and where to put a key action stop, to stay out of the natural volatility of an asset – combining the two for trading with the odds in your favor?
  3. To apply multiple trading strategies for hedging and leveraging positions.
  4. The power of position sizing, considering the strength of your trade setup by a minimum and maximum risk assessment.
  5. Operating with a business plan for trading success: Financial Plan (what to expect) and Action Plan (how to act).

If you want to learn how to integrate this and more in your trading and investing:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Sign up for our Free Trading Tips, Reports, and Webinars…click.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,
Thomas
www.NeverLossTrading.com
Disclaimer, Terms and ConditionsPrivacy | Customer Support

 

November 30, 2017 at 6:12 am Leave a comment

How to Decide When to Trade or Invest

Is fundamental analysis the basis of your decision making? Are you in the position to outsmart the world’s best analysts, working for companies like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan (just to name a few)? Let us be casual, you are most likely not!

As a result, technical analysis is the logical choice.

At this point, we immediately want to bridge over:

Imagine, one of this big institutional investment firms starts an action to collect or distribute an asset. In this case, other asset holders and market participants will recognize the action and either trade with or against what they notice. If you had an indication on hand, that such situation is there, you would be in the position to observe if specific price thresholds are surpassed to trade with a developing directional price move.

Click here to watch the video…click.

Rule Based Trading

This is exactly what we do with the NeverLossTrading concepts. We do not squeeze the real market action into a mathematical formula like moving averages; we measure the action of now and formulate resulting price moves for all asset classes and time-frames and only act:

  • When the directional price move is confirmed.
  • When the odds are in our favor.
  • At pre-formulated entry-, exit, and stop levels.
  • With a plan-B, in case the trade goes wrong.
  • For a pre-formulated maximum time period.

With such system on hand, your chart is telling you, where the momentum and the trend are going and you can act by our key slogan:

Trade What You See! Let the chart tell when to buy or sell.

Chart-1: AAPL Weekly NLT Trend Catching Chart July/August 2017

Reward Risk Time on AAPL Weekly Chart

Chart-1 shows a long-setup at the candle that closed on July 21, 2017 with the following components:

  • Buy>$151.74, if next week’s price development surpasses this threshold.
  • Stop or trade repair (plan-B), if the price drops to $147.20.
  • Exit at target of $157.07 or after three bars (in the example: three weeks).
  • Reward/Risk: 1.3-time the reward to risk (favorable – odds in your favor).

How did we come to predict such price moves?

Prior to a price change, we measure the underlying change in supply and demand and from there:

  • We extrapolate a price point to enter into a directional trade (buy-stop or sell-stop order).
  • Our system pre-formulates the exit point: target.
  • In addition, a stop or trade adjustment level is pre-formulated at entry.

Bringing those components together, we focus on high probability trading with attainment rates >65%, together with the imperative to apply a time-based exit: closing the trade if the expected price target is not reached after 3-bars.

You might say: That sounds like tape-reading and in a way, it is; however, with the most advanced algorithms, real-time data, server technology and vector graphics. A single person could never replicate what our computers can do.

Even so, we specify trading as mechanical as possible; we value the human element:

  • By teaching you pattern recognition and quick observation of key supply and demand levels on the chart.
  • By always trading with a plan-B, allowing you to repair trades instead of taking a stop-loss.

Thus, you are applying algorithmic trading with human interaction: a strong combination.

By teaching one-on-one and by providing longer-term coaching, we focus on your individual wants and needs; helping you to turn yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

Chart-2: AAPL 30-Minute NLT Top-Line Chart August 14 – 17, 2017

AAPL 30 Minute NLT Top-Line Chart for August 14 2017

Chart-2 shows, how to trade short-term price developments with a two-tier target setting (the system works the same way for longer-term trades). Aside from placing the stop at the base of the red-line at entry, you can also trail your stop by following the red line, participating in the price-move from the beginning to the end.

To keep this short: If you like to trade long-term or short-term price moves, we can provide you with the system and algorithm that supports your trading style.

We tune our systems, training time and coaching, to fit your individual wants and needs; helping you to turn yourself into the trader or investor, you want to be.

We offer several systems and always teach one-on-one. We are in business since 2008 and dedicate our knowledge, passion and time to those we commit to. If you like to be one of the NeverLossTraders, call us or schedule an individual demonstration at:

+1 800 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

When we work together, it is not only that you learn to read charts by our indicators and patterns, you will experience the following:

  • A business plan for trading success: Financial plan (which return to expect at your best available time) and an action plan (what to do when and how).
  • How to repair trades that go wrong, with the potential to turn losers into winners (this is where our name came from; however, Never Stop Loss Trading was lengthy).
  • How to hedge and leverage your holdings, making the additional income you deserve and prevent draw downs.
  • Trading or investing with multiple strategies and only when the odds are in your favor.
  • Option trading strategies, capturing risk and escalating returns at all asset classes.
  • Clear cut trading plan, with chart-based entries, exits, stop or adjustment levels.
  • Learning at your best available days and times.
  • Coaching until you get independent and free.
  • High probability trading at or above 65% probability for success.
  • Clear cut documentations for every system and trade setup (NLT Tutorials).
  • Recorded learning session for an easy repeat on any device until the learned sits.

This and more is what you find in the NeverLossTrading mentorships.

If you feel, this is for you:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Sign up for our free trading tips, webinars, and reports…click.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support

August 21, 2017 at 8:13 am Leave a comment

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