Posts filed under ‘Stock Market Index’

Invitation: Free Trading and Investing Webinar

Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…

Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?

93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…

They would have FAILED!

Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.

On October 15th, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.

Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.

It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.

Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!

For questions: 

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com 

Best regards, 

Thomas Barmann

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October 12, 2020 at 8:51 am Leave a comment

Trading and Point of Reference

A correlation measures the strength of a relationship between two quantitative variables, expressed in three results:

  • Correlation (the higher, the stronger)
  • No correlation (independent happenings)
  • Opposite correlation (one happening or variable is counter the happening of the other).

The European financial markets forerun the US market by six hours; hence, we like to spot over the pond for the happening. The strongest correlation we found is between the DAX (German stock market index) and the S&P 500. See why

DAX (red-blue) and S&P 500 Six Months Daily Compared

DAX and S&P 500 Development Compared

Even so, the market composition is different; the two indexes develop in a tight relationship.

In NLT Top-Line, we measure the correlation of the price development of assets to the overall market and found that independent happening or uncorrelated price moves often lead to strong results.

The following chart is showing ZM, Zoom video on a weekly NLT Top-Line chart, and we highlight a signal combination that is prone for a strong price breakout:

  • Blue buy signal on the price chart: Buy > $295.97
  • Purple highlighted volume, an indication for a pre-stage of a breakout
  • NLT comparison signal: Up 295.97, showing that the stock is developing stronger than the market.
  • Stock independent and not correlated to the stock market

ZM on Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, July – September 20202

This is how you have multiple measures to decide when a trade constellation is on the chart that deserves special attention. Here a short video explaining how to find those opportunites…click.

Those rules are learnable and documented for you. We spend 20-hours of individual training, teaching you those and appropriate risk limited strategies for going to market, and we work with you in a three-month mentorship, reinforcing that the rule we teach stick with you. For more information, we invite you to a personal consulting hour, with no obligation:

+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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September 12, 2020 at 7:42 am Leave a comment

Short-Term Trading with TradeColors.com

Rule-based trading is what makes the difference between structured and random trading success.

Today, we want to introduce you to our basic algorithmic and rule-based trading system: TradeColors.com

We best show you how it works in a 12-minute video…click.

TradeColors.com is the entry-level system of NeverLossTrading and always allows you to upgrade, acknowledging the tuition paid. We strive to predict directional price moves with a probability ≥ 65%. The returns you strive for depend on the asset class you choose and the frequency of trading:

  • Stocks, their options
  • Futures
  • FOREX

Besides, the trade frequency and the risk association are essential to determine the potential outcome of your trading endeavors.

By a client request, we appraised the performance on the /NQ: E-Mini NASDAQ 100 futures contract, time-based and tick-based:

/NQ on a 2h-TradeColors.com Chart

Following the specifications of TradeColors.com, in a period of 32 trading days (6/19/20 to 8/4/20), the system produced nine trading opportunities: seven winning trades, two losing trades. The average target to strive for was 80 Points, with a point value of $20 = $1,600 per opportunity. Assuming that you traded one contract at a 1:1 relation between risk and reward, the outcome of the trading example would have been:

Projected Outcome: 7 x $1,600 – 2 x $1,600 = $8,000  (actual win rate)

If we assumed a 65% win rate, the expected outcome would be $3,840.

If a risk-unit of $1,600 is outside of your risk tolerance, we can swap to trading the /MNQ (Micro NASDAQ Futures Contract), which scales down the risk unit of one contract to $160. We could also use a different time frame or potentially a transaction-oriented point of view as we do in the following chart:

/NQ on 3,200-tick TradeColors.com Chart

Chart Constellations:

  • Average price expansion: 16 Points = $320
  • TradeColors.com Opportunities: 7
  • Observed Time Frame: 2 Days
  • Results: 6 winners, one loss
  • Outcome: 6 x $320 – $320 = $1,600 (trading one contract)

Trading in a 4% risk tolerance, based on $25,000 holdings, would allow for trading three contracts, producing $4,800 of income from the trades in two days.

These are the most recent system results, and we cannot guarantee you will achieve the same and make you aware of the risk in trading by our disclaimer (link below).

Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan, helping you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.

If you are up for learning this, let us get super interactive, and we meet with you in a one-on-one meeting online to test how our systems can help you day trading, swing trading, or longer-term investing. 

We want to have a content filled conversation with you, and such we want only to offer this to 20 individuals.

No, there is no charge, I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only wish to take 20 individual conversations max.

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj. TradeColors.com Special.

To sign up for our free trading tips, webinars, and reports….click.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you!

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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August 13, 2020 at 7:43 am Leave a comment

2020 Growth Stocks by NeverLossTrading

After Berkshire Hathaway Inc. declared horrible earnings last May 2, 2020, our long-term investors asked us about investment opportunities in 2020.

Trading the markets day-by-day, we are wondering about the hype of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Comparing BRK/B to SPY shows, from the end of December 2019 to May 1, 2020, BRK/B was underperforming the SPY (ETF of the S&P 500 Index).

SPY Compared to BRK/B on a Daily Chart, December 2019 to May 1, 2020

So why would you want to put your money where the fund manager cannot outperform the index?

In essence, learn to trade and invests with a high probability system, then you have the chance to outperform the index. The choice is yours!

Helping our clients to find future investment opportunities, we put together a list of prospects, while on today’s basis, market conditions are pre-mature to invest in those. However, a good investor is prepared when the right conditions arrive.

Following the NeverLossTrading principles, we want a confirmed trading signal on either a daily, weekly, or monthly basis. Then and only then will we be ready to take a position.

Another question we were asked: If one does not want to invest in one single stock but rather into a family of the same shares through one type of investment, which ETF would we choose?

Making it simple, we put our opinion into the following table:

For the week fo May 4, 2020, our NLT Alerts spelled out multiple short opportunities too, and we are ready to act, condition to confirmed signals.

By the NLT principle, we will only trade when other market participants react to the observed change in supply or demand, by driving the price to the level of our pre-spelled out price threshold. When this happens, buy-stop or sell-stop orders will be executed, and our offer goes to an exchange or limit orders in case of working with options.

We invite you to a free week of our alters, with no obligation:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Just write us an email with the Subj: Free NLT Stock Alert, include a legit name, and you will find the NLT Stock Alerts in your inbox.

All our decisions are chart based, where price thresholds spell out the opportunity for you.  

AAPL Monthly NLT Top-Line Chart: October 2017 to April 2020

You see five highlighted situations that we analyzed:

Watch the video for further details and examples…click.

Trade as mechanical as possible with clear cut rules.

For getting those charts and learning to participate in such opportunities:

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.

Good trading!

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May 4, 2020 at 9:08 am 1 comment

Why Most Traders Fail

To help traders worldwide to perform in the financial markets, we just held a presentation on the key pitfalls for trading/investing and how to get around those.

For those of you, who were not able to participate in our presentation, we now put a written concept together, highlighting the key takeaways: rule-based trading and investing and how to follow pre-defined action steps…

Download your copy of Why Most Traders Fail and how to prevent this….click.

For helping you to shorten your fairway to success, we would like to extend a personal consulting hour to you. 

Teaching one-on-one, spots are limited, so do not miss out!

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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August 13, 2019 at 9:01 am Leave a comment

New Book: Integrated Trading and Investing System

We want to invite you into the world of rule based trading and put together a guideline to algorithmic based trading and investing.

Regardless if you want to trade for a living, manage your retirement accounts, build wealth, you need a solid knowledge base to enjoy financial market success.

This book describes the fundamentals needed to trade today’s markets, regardless if you favor stocks, options, futures, or FOREX and if the markets go up, down or move sideways. There is a certain amount of complexity to consider when operating in the financial markets; else, it would be easy to make money, and we want to help you with a concept to de-complex the happening. In many detailed examples and graphics, you will be supported for establishing what is needed to participate in the financial markets our days.

The physical and kindle formatted book is available at Amazon…click.

Learn the concepts and decide if you want to establish them on your own or trust into a market-proven system and concept

It will be eye-opening for you regardless of the stage of a trader or investor you are: You will learn in 16 chapters how to select the right assets by specified setups, position size, define your entries, exits, stops, stay engaged, and strive for continuous returns.

As a purchaser of this book, you are welcome to join our NeverLossTrading community (we are ten years in business) and getting the price of this book discounted from an educational contract or on a subscription to our NLT Alerts.     

Successful traders or investors follow a system, where multiple components are working in their favor. System integration is defined as the process of bringing together component subsystems into one system; ensuring that the subsystems function together as one system. Let us give you a short overview in a graphic, and you will find references to the sub-system in the continuation of the book:

Graphic: Sub-Systems and System Integration

Learn the concepts and decide if you want to establish them on your own or trust into a market-proven system and concept. Link to Amazon…click.

In summary: an integrated trading system includes and considers all components needed for successful trading/investing and helps you to act on clearly defined rules. As mechanical as possible: giving you at pre-defined chart setups the entries, exits, and stops; allowing you to evaluate every trade situation to decide if you accept a trade based on your set conditions or not.

Connecting you with a real-trading-world of today, we introduce you to the principles, methods, and strategies of Spotting and Following Institutional Money Moves by applying Activity-Based Algorithmic Trading and Investing Techniques.

Trading/Investing is a professional business; professionals are prepared.

With this book, we give you a comprehensive overview and systematic to follow to prepare for your future trading and investing endeavors.

To demonstrate what we express, please find a multitude of graphics contained.

We want to invite you to establish key principles and being prepared to reach the behavior, attitude, and systematics of a successful market investor.

For helping you to shorten your fairway to success, we would like to extend a special offer to you: Schedule a personal consulting hour, where you can call the symbols and time frames, and we jointly add up the good and bad trades. 

Teaching one-on-one, spots are limited, so do not miss out!

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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April 20, 2019 at 8:35 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing in Times of Volatility

Since the beginning of 2018, the US-stock market gives traders and investors a challenge that was not present for a long time: increasing volatility.

There are different ways of expressing volatility: Commonly the VIX (CBOE Market Volatility Index) is taken as the volatility measure; however, besides a short spark in February, the VIX still dwells below 20, which is considered low volatility.

Volatility  by NeverLossTrading.png

On the other hand, we do not need to rely on what the index says to understand if volatility increased or not. Just take a monthly chart and look at the size candles of the core stock market index, then you see what is happening:

NLT TrendCatching Chart for SPX (S&P 500 Index), October 2016 to April 2018

SPX Monthly Chart April 2018.png

The chart shows you multiple buy signals along the up move until the S&P 500 reached its high in January 2018. In March of 2018, a first sell signal occurred.

How to read the NeverLossTrading Trend Catching Chart:

  • With the NLT system, you trade or invest when the formulated price threshold is surpassed in the price-move of the next candle: Buy>$2519.40 was indicated end of September 2017 and confirmed in October 2017, leading to going long in the index and we closed the position when the price reached the gray target dot at $2590.40; concluding a 71-point price move. End of November 2017, another price threshold was formulated and confirmed in the next candle and came to target. The last buy signal on the chart: Buy>$2877.90 was final and no more confirmed.
  • By the change in color, a momentum change came on the chart, resulting in a first sell signal: Sell<$2585.90.
  • The bottom study: NeverLossTrading Balance of Power Indicator, tells you in blue that buyers were in command (blue bars), until in February 2018, when sellers were more dominant.

All NLT charts auto-adjust and signal directional trading opportunities, regardless of the asset or time frame you choose.

Back to volatility:

When you look at the size of the 2018 monthly candles, you recognize that they are significantly bigger (top-to-bottom) than all the candles we have seen in the prior months: telling you that volatility increased, and as a trader or investor, you better have strategies on hand to deal with times of higher volatility.

Why do we make this point?

In times of higher volatility, when keeping the same risk tolerance, your risk of getting stopped out in your trades increases; thus you need new trading strategies to cope with the new risk gauge to bring your trades to target.

When trading or investing, we make assumptions, predicting potential directional price moves, while we cannot influence if the price gets to our target; however, we can control the risk by the trading strategy we apply: Meaning, if you prior operated with a 2% stop, in times of volatility, a 5% stop might be needed to follow the predominant price move.

If the increased volatility brings you outside of your risk tolerance, you have multiple choices to still trade and invest:

  • Decrease your position size.
  • Reduce the time frame you base your trading decisions on.
  • Choose option strategies that allow a limited-risk and directional reward opportunity.
  • Change to trading strategies that function best at times of volatility.

The last point might be a bit ambiguous, so let us throw an example.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Index on 4/13/2018 with NLT Top-Line and TrendCatching Signals

ES April 13 Ranges

Each price move captured on the chart resulted in a $250 gain/risk based on one futures contract. Just add up the realized directional opportunities of one trading day and you see; how a change in trading strategies can accelerate your opportunities to participate in directional price moves of the underlying multiple times a day.

This is where we come into play and help you to have the trading strategies, systems, and systematics on hand to cope with every trade environment.

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 17, 2018 at 5:48 am Leave a comment

Webinar: Your Edge – High Probability Trading

Learn how to find repetitive chart setups where you can trade with the odds in your favor – High Probability Trading. Experience why common trading systems and even betting for ≥2:1 price moves do not get you where you want to be and how to make a change to your trading.

We like to invite to join our free webinar on Thursday June 8, 2017 at 4:30 p.m.

Sign up here…click.

Rule Based Trading

Your Edge – High Probability Trading

Presenter:  Thomas Barmann

Date/Time: Thursday, June 8, 4:30-5:30pm EDT

Sign up here…click.

By sharing proprietary content, there will not be a recording.

Description:

If you can estimate how a far a price move will reach and why – and you put this in relation to where to place a key action stop that considers the statistical volatility of the observed asset, identifying a price level where it will be a pain for institutional investors to get the price, then you can develop an edge for trading the financial markets by trading with the odds in your favor.

Successful trading is based on finding and following repetitive supply- and demand patterns: The price change you see is a result, not a variable and hat we want to demonstrate, is how you can find and participate in directional price changes before they happen.

Prediction connects the subjective and the objective reality: This means, you can test what we show you in the real world: For you to compare how well you predict trade entries and exits today and how, what is shared with you, might make a change for your trading future.

Sign up here for the Free Webinar

We are looking forward to having you and helping you to develop yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

For questions: Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

To subscribe to our FREE trading tips, webinars, and reports…click here.

See you at the upcoming webinar,

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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June 6, 2017 at 5:54 am Leave a comment

How to Predict and Trade Price Moves with High Probability

What probability are you trading on?

Learn: How to Predict and Trade Price Moves with High Probability

Join our Free Webinar and experience what is possible!

Date/Time: Wed., May 18, 4:30-5:30 p.m. EDT

Sign up here…click.

Mechanical System

By sharing proprietary content, there will not be a recording.

Description:

The vast majority: 85% of the financial markets are institutional money driven. Institutions always try to hide their footsteps; however, by the sheer size, they are identifiable and the private investor/trader can spot and trade along with them.

Successful trading is based on finding and following repetitive supply- and demand patterns: The price change you see is a result, not a variable and what we want to demonstrate, is how you can find and participate in directional price changes before they happen.

Prediction connects the subjective and the objective reality: This means, you can test what we show you in the real world: For you to compare how well you predict trade entries and exits today and how, what is shared with you, might make a change for your trading future.

Sign up here for the Thomas’ Webinar…click.

We are looking forward to having you and helping you to develop yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

For questions: Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

To subscribe to our FREE trading tips, webinars, and reports…click here.

See you at the upcoming webinar,

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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May 17, 2017 at 2:31 pm Leave a comment

Day Trade When Prices Move

Successful day traders know when to risk their money and when not.

To make those decisions, let a system help you that measures the movement of the underlying structure of the market and indicates when you should be ready to trade or not.

If you are not yet signed up to our FREE Trading Tips, Webinars, Reports…sign up here.

Experience how this holds true by an example of the /ES, the E-Mini S&P 500 Index futures contract and watch our video…click.

Trade Where Prices Move

For a short period, we offer NLT Top-Line Light, which allows you a budget entry into the world of high probability trading; however, this offer will expire soon.

If you like what you see in our video and you are ready to experience how our systems perform live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not yet signed up to our FREE Trading Tips, Webinars, Reports…sign up here.

We are training and coaching one-on-one, spots are extremely limited, so do not miss out.

Good trading,

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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March 10, 2017 at 7:39 am Leave a comment

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