Posts filed under ‘Technical Analysis’

Why to learn Trading and Investing (free eBook)

We are ready for Thanksgiving and want to thank you for your interest in what we share and provide.

To help your trading and investing endeavors, please accept our free eBook:

“Learn Trading & Investing”

A step-by-step approach you can follow, focusing on all types of accounts, particularly on your wants and needs.  

It is a free download; no sign up required.

Download your free copy (only available for short)…click.

For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.

Happy Thanksgiving and good trading,

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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November 25, 2020 at 3:56 am Leave a comment

Invitation: Free Trading and Investing Webinar

Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…

Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?

93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…

They would have FAILED!

Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.

On October 15th, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.

Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.

It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.

Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!

For questions: 

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com 

Best regards, 

Thomas Barmann

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October 12, 2020 at 8:51 am Leave a comment

Trading and Point of Reference

A correlation measures the strength of a relationship between two quantitative variables, expressed in three results:

  • Correlation (the higher, the stronger)
  • No correlation (independent happenings)
  • Opposite correlation (one happening or variable is counter the happening of the other).

The European financial markets forerun the US market by six hours; hence, we like to spot over the pond for the happening. The strongest correlation we found is between the DAX (German stock market index) and the S&P 500. See why

DAX (red-blue) and S&P 500 Six Months Daily Compared

DAX and S&P 500 Development Compared

Even so, the market composition is different; the two indexes develop in a tight relationship.

In NLT Top-Line, we measure the correlation of the price development of assets to the overall market and found that independent happening or uncorrelated price moves often lead to strong results.

The following chart is showing ZM, Zoom video on a weekly NLT Top-Line chart, and we highlight a signal combination that is prone for a strong price breakout:

  • Blue buy signal on the price chart: Buy > $295.97
  • Purple highlighted volume, an indication for a pre-stage of a breakout
  • NLT comparison signal: Up 295.97, showing that the stock is developing stronger than the market.
  • Stock independent and not correlated to the stock market

ZM on Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, July – September 20202

This is how you have multiple measures to decide when a trade constellation is on the chart that deserves special attention. Here a short video explaining how to find those opportunites…click.

Those rules are learnable and documented for you. We spend 20-hours of individual training, teaching you those and appropriate risk limited strategies for going to market, and we work with you in a three-month mentorship, reinforcing that the rule we teach stick with you. For more information, we invite you to a personal consulting hour, with no obligation:

+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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September 12, 2020 at 7:42 am Leave a comment

Stock and Options Trading Alerts

This white paper shows how we combine NeverLossTrading indications and options trading activity for finding and following trading and investing opportunities when they develop intraday.

We are blogging and sharing content for more than ten years, and we helped many traders and investors to produce consistent income from the financial markets.

With our systems and indicators, we are tracking institutional money moves and trade along with those by finding and acting on high probability setups with the goal of ≥ 65% accurate directional prediction.

Let us give you an example of how our systems spell out opportunities on the chart to spot and follow:

AAPL Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, Feb. to Aug. 2020

AAPL on a Weekly NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart

Even so, reading and operating with our indicators needs to be learned, the chart demonstrates how our system points out opportunities at key price turning points and along with the price development of the observed asset: in our case AAPL.

For more input on our systems: contact@NeverLossTrading.com

In the NLT Options Trading Alert, we combine NLT indicator readings and options trading activities, highlighting where our systems find significant changes in supply and demand intraday. There is no fixed reporting schedule, the trading day and happening defines when the alerts are generated:

  • First reports come out around 10 a.m. ET forward.
  • End of the day alerts, around 3 p.m. to 3:30 p.m. ET.
  • We only share reports when referring changes in supply and demand are identified. When nothing happens, no alert will be generated and shared.
  • An alert based on the end of the day numbers will also be generated and shared.
  • Only shares with meaningful option trading conditions are considered (tight bid/ask spreads, minimum volume and open interest requirements we set).

With the NLT systems, we are operating on confirmed signals only: Daily signals, for example, have to be confirmed in the price continuation of the next day.

By combining early indicator readings and options trading activities, we are opening positions without confirmation on the day of occurrence, and we were able to achieve high probability results ≥ 65%.

In summary: The goal of this new alert service is to inform you intraday about happenings: The actual price move of the underlying, combined with the intraday options activity, proposes early entries into developing directional price moves.

Options trading with the right strategies provides:

  • Fantastic return opportunities.
  • Risk-limited trading: Limiting the trading risk, either to the premium paid, when buying options, or to the width of the spreads, minus the premium received on credit spreads.  

We are a big proponent of trading risk-limited only; it builds the basis for every successful trader by preventing drawdowns.

Could you have traded the stock instead of the option on the spelled out opportunities?

Yes, because we traded directional only, and such trading the stock instead of the option would have lead to the same positive results: 72% winners over 28% losing trades.

Before launching this alert service, we tested the NLT Options Trading Alert for three months, with the following results:

  • Between June 4 and August 25, 2020, we conducted 69 trades in 58 trading days: 1.2 transactions per day. Of those, 60 positions are closed, and nine are still open.
  • Of the 60 closed trades, 43 (72%) were winners and 17-times we lost (28%).
  • The average return of the winning trades was 74% of the investment made. The average loss was 65% of the investment made.
  • On the first pass, we kept the maximum risk-unit per trade below $500, and such we left put or call buying opportunities for high-value shares like TSLA out, except spread trades allowed to participate with the set risk limit.  

In summary: We were winning more often than we lost, and we produced a higher return and lower loss average per trade:

A success principle in which we believe in!

Here is an overview of the stock symbols we traded (options of some of the listed symbols were traded multiple times):  

Stock Symbols of the Options Trades Conducted

The listed symbols were not the only trades we conducted; NLT offers multiple alert services from which we choose and execute opportunities for all asset classes: stock, options, futures, and FOREX.

All traded symbols provided substantial daily open interest and volume: an imperative for meaningful options trading.

The average time in a trade was 11 days, with the following  distribution:

Average Days in a Trade

About 25% of the trades were adjusted, mostly by rolling positions forward:

  • 40% of the losing trades were adjusted
  • 12% of the winning trades were adjusted

By producing an average 74% return over a 65% average loss, the adjustment method provided an edge. Options trading adjustment methods are taught at our mentorship programs.

Watch our video about the NLT Options Alert …click

Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan, helping you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.

If you are up for learning this and using the NLT Options Alert, let us get super interactive on multiple levels:

  • Level-1: Write us an email that you want to test the end of the day NLT Options Alert to see if you can get value out of it, and it will end up in your inbox at the end of the day or early next day. Subj.: NLT Options Alert Only.
  • Level-2: We interact with you and share opportunities we find intraday and at the end of the day. When you are up for this, we want to have content-filled conversations, and such we want to offer this to ten individuals only. For being able to act on the opportunities we share, options trading experience is of help. If you want to learn how to work with our systems, indicators, and strategies, we are happy to help you with one of our mentorship programs (incl. software, teaching, coaching). For being part of Options Level-2, please email us: Subj.: NLT Options Exchange.

No, there is no charge, and no credit card is needed to participate. When you like our service, we will make you an offer, and you decide if you accept it or not. For you to participate, a legit name and email address is needed:

contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you!

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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August 29, 2020 at 11:23 am Leave a comment

Short-Term Trading with TradeColors.com

Rule-based trading is what makes the difference between structured and random trading success.

Today, we want to introduce you to our basic algorithmic and rule-based trading system: TradeColors.com

We best show you how it works in a 12-minute video…click.

TradeColors.com is the entry-level system of NeverLossTrading and always allows you to upgrade, acknowledging the tuition paid. We strive to predict directional price moves with a probability ≥ 65%. The returns you strive for depend on the asset class you choose and the frequency of trading:

  • Stocks, their options
  • Futures
  • FOREX

Besides, the trade frequency and the risk association are essential to determine the potential outcome of your trading endeavors.

By a client request, we appraised the performance on the /NQ: E-Mini NASDAQ 100 futures contract, time-based and tick-based:

/NQ on a 2h-TradeColors.com Chart

Following the specifications of TradeColors.com, in a period of 32 trading days (6/19/20 to 8/4/20), the system produced nine trading opportunities: seven winning trades, two losing trades. The average target to strive for was 80 Points, with a point value of $20 = $1,600 per opportunity. Assuming that you traded one contract at a 1:1 relation between risk and reward, the outcome of the trading example would have been:

Projected Outcome: 7 x $1,600 – 2 x $1,600 = $8,000  (actual win rate)

If we assumed a 65% win rate, the expected outcome would be $3,840.

If a risk-unit of $1,600 is outside of your risk tolerance, we can swap to trading the /MNQ (Micro NASDAQ Futures Contract), which scales down the risk unit of one contract to $160. We could also use a different time frame or potentially a transaction-oriented point of view as we do in the following chart:

/NQ on 3,200-tick TradeColors.com Chart

Chart Constellations:

  • Average price expansion: 16 Points = $320
  • TradeColors.com Opportunities: 7
  • Observed Time Frame: 2 Days
  • Results: 6 winners, one loss
  • Outcome: 6 x $320 – $320 = $1,600 (trading one contract)

Trading in a 4% risk tolerance, based on $25,000 holdings, would allow for trading three contracts, producing $4,800 of income from the trades in two days.

These are the most recent system results, and we cannot guarantee you will achieve the same and make you aware of the risk in trading by our disclaimer (link below).

Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan, helping you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.

If you are up for learning this, let us get super interactive, and we meet with you in a one-on-one meeting online to test how our systems can help you day trading, swing trading, or longer-term investing. 

We want to have a content filled conversation with you, and such we want only to offer this to 20 individuals.

No, there is no charge, I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only wish to take 20 individual conversations max.

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj. TradeColors.com Special.

To sign up for our free trading tips, webinars, and reports….click.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you!

Thomas

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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August 13, 2020 at 7:43 am Leave a comment

The Basis of Trading and Investing Decisions

Receive in a Free eBook, valuable insights into what is needed for being a consistent trader or investor. The difference between a trader and an investor is only in the time of holding a position; the decision-making process is the same.

In our aim of sharing knowledge, we explain:

  • Why basing trading or investing decision on applicable statistics is essential.
  • How to operate with mechanical rules instead of interpretations.
  • See examples of how it can work for you.

Download your eBook here (only available for a short time).

We offer a wide variety of concepts, suited to all trading styles, wants, and needs.

Working one-on-one only, we tailor our concepts to your personal situation and teach at your preferred days and times: programming all indicators and chart setups for you.

If this is for you, contact us for a personal consulting hour:

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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June 24, 2020 at 8:36 am Leave a comment

How to Best Day Trade

Right from our research desk:

How to set yourself apart as a day trader: Apply a high probability trading concept focusing on predefined price ranges instead of trading time-based.

Watch the video…click

Download the write-up…click

After watching the video and reading the concept:

Can you put intraday price-range-trading in motion on your own, or do you want to apply a market-proven concept?

Aside from day trading, we offer a wide variety of concepts, suited to all trading styles, wants, and needs.

We work one-on-one, and tailor our concepts to your situation, teaching at your preferred days and times: all indicators and chart setups will be programmed for you.

If this is for you, contact us for a personal consulting hour:

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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June 18, 2020 at 8:11 am Leave a comment

Free Trading and Investing Webinar

Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…

Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?

93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…

They would have FAILED!

Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.

On June 3rd, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.

Event Start: 12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on 06/03/2020).

Different trading strategies will be shared.

  • What’s working in the market right now
  • What these top four trading experts are watching
  • Current trade ideas, strategies and the most profitable trades in today’s market 

It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.

Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.

REGISTER HERE for this Traders Exclusive webinar

By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!

Agenda:

12:00 PM to 12:45 PM CT— Thomas Barmann of NeverLossTrading a division of Nobel Living LLC with “Algorithmic Trading for Private Investors”

Rule based trading, right from the chart.  Following price moves with multiple strategies. Executing a pre-defined financial and action plan.

12:45 to 1:30 PM CT— Kevin J Davey of KJ Trading Systems with “4 Entries To Get You On The Right Side For Your Next Trade”

Join Kevin as he presents 4 entries that will get your trading moving in the right direction.  These entries are a great start for any algo or discretionary trading system you build.  Find out how these entries can work for you!

1:30 PM to 2:15 PM CT— Brian  McAboy of Inside Out Trading with “The Science of Consistency Applied to Trading”

Consistency doesn’t just happen because you have a clever strategy for getting in and out of the markets.  And there’s more to it than simply ‘being disciplined’.  In this presentation, you’ll discover the Science of Consistency and how to apply it to your trading to make more money, no matter how you trade, without having to rely on willpower, and without having to switch to a new system.

2:15 PM to 3:00 PM CT— Jared Putnam of Trading Supra with “What To Do When – How to Make Sense of Your Approach for Greater Consistency”

See how adopting 3 simple, pro-level adjustments can transform your confidence and consistency!

***Incredibly, there is no registration fee to attend this event. But, our space on the webinar is limited. So, please be sure to register early and enter the room 10 minutes before the scheduled time (12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on 06/03/2020).***

REGISTER HERE for this Traders Exclusive webinar

For questions: 

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com 

Best regards, 

Thomas Barmann

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May 30, 2020 at 12:35 pm Leave a comment

Longer-Term Trading in Volatile Times

Can one trade longer-term price developments in times of COVID-19?

To answer this question, let us define longer-term trading first.

By our definition, longer-term trades take their signals from weekly and monthly charts, assuming to hold positions for multiple weeks or months.

The key to longer-term trading as it is to shorter-term trading:

Finding assets in demand or supply, and trading along with their price development with a risk-limiting strategy.

We generated a video where we are explaining the details in a ten-minute presentation: watch it here…click.

Risk-limiting is the keyword!

When you are just long or short stock, you are not trading risk limited: stocks can lose 50% of their value in a very short period of time. Check out BA, for example: The share dropped 50% of its value in a matter of two months.

In trading, we predict price developments, but cannot control them:

We work under a probability assumption, but we can control the risk we take per trade.

However, risk control is easier said than done. We offer multiple strategies in our mentorships, teaching you to execute risk-limiting trades that are applicable for all account types: Cash, IRA, Margin Accounts.

How to find and follow a potential price move?

It is the duty of your system: It shall help you to find underlying changes in supply and demand, paint those on your charts, and to give you market scanners that let you find those opportunities without the need for going through hundreds of charts.

Let us start out with a monthly chart example where the NeverLossTrading Top-Line system speller out multiple directional trading opportunities by upper- and lower study indicators.

AAPL Monthly NLT Top-Line Chart: October 2017 to April 2020

You see five highlighted situations that we analyze in detail for you.

SituationActions
Situation-1Long trade by the price threshold: Buy > $190.37, being surpassed in the next candle. Trade for a maximum of five bars or to the price target. The trade started in an NLT Light Tower and ended there (candle with the cyan dot).
Situation-2No trade, not supported by the lower study.
Situation-3Long trade for a maximum of five bars or exit at the NLT Box Line.
Situation-4Long trade for a maximum of five bars.
Situation-5Short trade to targe.

Watch the video for further details and examples…click.

Trade as mechanical as possible with clear cut rules. Learn how to apply this:

To learn and participate in such opportunities:

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.

Good trading!

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April 20, 2020 at 5:53 am Leave a comment

Short-Term Trading Concept Continued

We just introduced a short-term trading concept with the E-Mini S&P Futures and the E-Micro S&P Futures: Read it with the following link…click.

We have an environment where nine of the twelve federal reserve banks announced to buy stocks.

They sure operate in cycles and buy when it is favorable.

Our indicators paint those cycles on the chart for you to follow:

S&P Micro Futures Contract 20-Minute Chart,  March 24 – Early March 25, 2020

What would it do to your trading, if you were able to spot and follow those market swings:

With our concept, we only buy or sell when the spelled out price threshold is surpassed in the next candle, and we trade for a maximum price move of 2-SPU’s (Speed Units). You find the trading distance market on the chart an in the top left corner of the chart.

This concept surely works on other time frames.

Following the NeverLossTrading concept, all trades shall follow pre-defined rules and be based on high probability indications: ≥ 65%. In addition, we want to trade with limited risk and balance the risk with on the basis of your account holdings.

You also find a short video integrated, explaining the details of the trade and the concept we follow.

For adding what we share today into your knowledge and skillset, schedule your personal consulting hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

www.NeverLossTrading.com

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March 25, 2020 at 8:06 am Leave a comment

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