Posts filed under ‘Algorithmic Trading’

Trading and Investing Due Diligence

Imagine, you want to buy a company: what will you do?

You will follow a process of a due diligence – steps of appraising your investment decision. You owe this to your lenders and to you; else no money shall be invested; because the expectation to achieve the desired return is doubtful.

Due Diligence by NeverLossTrading

However, when you invest in a stock, do you follow a simple process of appraising why you shall buy the stock or any other asset; deciding fact-based, IF and at which price to buy and re-sell the stock again?

Our period for the free Guide to Being a Trader or Investor ended.

We hope you enjoy our free gift, let us know if we can be of service to you:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 26, 2018 at 10:45 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing in Times of Volatility

Since the beginning of 2018, the US-stock market gives traders and investors a challenge that was not present for a long time: increasing volatility.

There are different ways of expressing volatility: Commonly the VIX (CBOE Market Volatility Index) is taken as the volatility measure; however, besides a short spark in February, the VIX still dwells below 20, which is considered low volatility.

Volatility  by NeverLossTrading.png

On the other hand, we do not need to rely on what the index says to understand if volatility increased or not. Just take a monthly chart and look at the size candles of the core stock market index, then you see what is happening:

NLT TrendCatching Chart for SPX (S&P 500 Index), October 2016 to April 2018

SPX Monthly Chart April 2018.png

The chart shows you multiple buy signals along the up move until the S&P 500 reached its high in January 2018. In March of 2018, a first sell signal occurred.

How to read the NeverLossTrading Trend Catching Chart:

  • With the NLT system, you trade or invest when the formulated price threshold is surpassed in the price-move of the next candle: Buy>$2519.40 was indicated end of September 2017 and confirmed in October 2017, leading to going long in the index and we closed the position when the price reached the gray target dot at $2590.40; concluding a 71-point price move. End of November 2017, another price threshold was formulated and confirmed in the next candle and came to target. The last buy signal on the chart: Buy>$2877.90 was final and no more confirmed.
  • By the change in color, a momentum change came on the chart, resulting in a first sell signal: Sell<$2585.90.
  • The bottom study: NeverLossTrading Balance of Power Indicator, tells you in blue that buyers were in command (blue bars), until in February 2018, when sellers were more dominant.

All NLT charts auto-adjust and signal directional trading opportunities, regardless of the asset or time frame you choose.

Back to volatility:

When you look at the size of the 2018 monthly candles, you recognize that they are significantly bigger (top-to-bottom) than all the candles we have seen in the prior months: telling you that volatility increased, and as a trader or investor, you better have strategies on hand to deal with times of higher volatility.

Why do we make this point?

In times of higher volatility, when keeping the same risk tolerance, your risk of getting stopped out in your trades increases; thus you need new trading strategies to cope with the new risk gauge to bring your trades to target.

When trading or investing, we make assumptions, predicting potential directional price moves, while we cannot influence if the price gets to our target; however, we can control the risk by the trading strategy we apply: Meaning, if you prior operated with a 2% stop, in times of volatility, a 5% stop might be needed to follow the predominant price move.

If the increased volatility brings you outside of your risk tolerance, you have multiple choices to still trade and invest:

  • Decrease your position size.
  • Reduce the time frame you base your trading decisions on.
  • Choose option strategies that allow a limited-risk and directional reward opportunity.
  • Change to trading strategies that function best at times of volatility.

The last point might be a bit ambiguous, so let us throw an example.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Index on 4/13/2018 with NLT Top-Line and TrendCatching Signals

ES April 13 Ranges

Each price move captured on the chart resulted in a $250 gain/risk based on one futures contract. Just add up the realized directional opportunities of one trading day and you see; how a change in trading strategies can accelerate your opportunities to participate in directional price moves of the underlying multiple times a day.

This is where we come into play and help you to have the trading strategies, systems, and systematics on hand to cope with every trade environment.

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 17, 2018 at 5:48 am Leave a comment

Option Trading for Private Investors

Options offer wonderful tools for private investors to participate in the price moves of the underlying stocks, futures, commodities, and currencies.

With options, you find a variety of trading opportunities by Calls, Puts at various strike prices and expiration dates; not to mention the ability to create multiple types of spreads and combinations to take advantage of different market conditions; however, we want to keep it simple and focus on using options for participating in directional price moves of the underlying assets and you can do this with any type of account, even IRA, custodian, or cash accounts.

Option Trading by NeverLossTrading.png

Thus, let us share with you how to find strong directional price move setups and explain the reasons for trading options instead of the underlying assets.

Focusing on a simple way of option-trading, we buy Calls to participate in price moves to the upside and we buy Puts for price moves to the downside.

What will be your advantage of buying options over buying or selling the asset?

Our answers are multifold:

  • You can limit your maximum risk to the premium paid.
  • Options allow you to only invest a fraction: 1% – 5% of the asset price.
  • You operate with leverage, striving for 30% – 200% return per trade.
  • Trades can be repaired when they do not work: reducing losses or even turning losers into winners.
  • There is no uptick rule for buying or selling options and thus, you can participate in price moves to the downside in any type of account and market condition.

Your key to successful option-trading is your ability to repetitively predict directional price moves with a high accuracy.

This is where a trading system comes into play and you best only consider trading systems that offer you the following:

  • A ≥ 65% probability to predict the future price move of an asset.
  • Trading/investing at specific and confirmed entry conditions only.
  • At entry, you receive specific target prices, reachable in a pre-defined period of time.
  • Operating with specific stop price levels, where you either exit your trade or you start repairing it.

For option traders, the element of high predictability of a price move at a pre-specified time period is important: At whatever strike price you buy Puts or Calls, you are always paying a time value; which is decaying, taking away from your investment even so the underlying asset price might not even move in your disfavor.

Let us put together two examples:

TSLA Daily NLT-Top Line Chart March 5 to March 29, 2018

TSLA NLT Top Line March 30, 2018

The chart shows you on 3/14/2018 a trade condition: Sell <$323.92 (CiC expresses a change in command; sellers take over from buyers at this setup). Thus you can operate with a clear-cut entry-level condition: When the price-move of the next candle surpasses the set price threshold, go short in the asset (TSLA) through buying Puts.

The trade entry condition was met in the next candle/bar on 3/15/2018 and thus confirmed the trade entry. By the system conditions, you know the maximum and favorable price to pay for the option and the time to expiration to decide for. We teach those details, concepts, and strategies in our mentorships and give you the tools on hand for taking solid trading and investing decisions.

Where is the magic in trading options?

Let us explain:

  1. You are able to participate in the downside price move of TSLA without the need to comply with SEC regulations that do not allow sorting stocks with account holdings < $25,000, or in an IRA, or cash accounts.
  2. No need to borrow TSLA stock from your broker, with the risk that it might not be available for you.
  3. The NLT system conditions specified at the chosen instance, the maximum price to pay for TSLA Put options at $14; favorably at $7:
  • When accepting the trade, Puts were available at $7.22 and such the price to pay was in spec. (the NLT chart dashboard expresses those price levels).
  • In essence, your minimum investment to participate in the price move of TSLA was 2.2% of the share price at entry (just a fraction); asking you for a $722 investment, which is more or less the price of two shares and you control 100.
  1. By NLT Top-Line, we assume to reach the price target-1 after a maximum time in the trade of five bars/candles.
  • Actually, the price moved to target-1in three bars, producing a 70% return on investment.
  • Price target-2 was supposed to be reached after a maximum of 10 bars and was reached at bar-8, with a return on investment of 433%.

Next, we show you if you like to take a longer-term perspective, how the system can help you to make sound decisions with fractional investments:

MSFT Weekly NLT-Top Line Chart, November 2017 to March 2018

MSFT Weekly NLT Top-Line March 2018

The chart shows a buy threshold at Buy>$88.41, which was confirmed in the price move of the next candle, allowing the trade entry with Call options. This way, you can pre-condition your order so it only goes into the market when your conditions are met, at your pre-defined offering price. This way, you do not have a need to sit in front of your computer for the order entry.

By our system, we originally assumed to reach the target-1 after one to five bars and got there in two bars. Target-2 was reached at bar-3 (3-weeks later), with the following return expectations:

  • Return at target-1: 52%.
  • Return at target-2: 110%.

Again, you just had to invest a fraction of the share price: <2% and you were able to participate in the price move of the underlying in $160 investment increments.

We hope this shows you, how you can keep more of your own money and make better than average returns… and fewer mistakes. NeverLossTrading provides you with the systems and knowledge to find such opportunities and to make those decisions. You stay in control as the markets move up and down, with at-a-glance guidance where the chart will tell, when to best buy or sell. Your trade potentials are either to be found by own scanners or by the NeverLossTrading Alerts (subscription service).

To learn more about what you will experience trading the markets the NeverLossTrading way, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools and knowledge base to support you in your aim for trading and investing success. If this is for you and you want to experience how it works live:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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April 5, 2018 at 11:21 am Leave a comment

Successful Trading and Investing is a Function of Preparation

Those who fail to prepare are prepared to fail.

You are surely familiar with this; however, still many unprepared private investors enter into the financial markets and pay high dues for not being prepared.

Red of Black Dollars by NeverLossTrading

We are utilizing the power of algorithmic trading for identifying situations that express underlying institutional attention and most probably lead to a predictable directional price move of Stocks, Futures, and FOREX.

When we express how to prepare for trading and investing success in a formula, three key variables need to be considered: systematics, attitude, and behavior. Let us fill those with life in a graphic:

Systematics Attitude Behavior by NeverLossTrading

Our algorithm for trading and investing success (Ts/Is) is formulated as follows:

Ts/Is= (Systematics + Attitude + Behavior)/3

  • Systematics, measured on a scale from 0-100.
  • Attitude, measured on a scale from 0 – 100.
  • Behavior, measured on a scale from 0-100.
  • Systematics, Attitude, Behavior > 0. Meaning: if one of the variables is zero, the probability of reaching success is zero.
  • When we measure at a scale from 0-100, success starts at or above 65 or 65%. Then and only then, you reach the basis for long-term trading and investing success.

We could write a long essay, explaining the details of those variables. If we triggered your interest and you want to learn more: contact@NeverLossTrading.com

When you have not reached long-term trading success:

  • Is it because you are afraid…to invest in yourself?
  • Is it because you are scared of applying change?

If you want to break out from where you are today and fight your way through it. You’re going to take the time and energy and money to get educated to the point you break out of where you are boxed-in today.

So, are you ready for a change?

If you are ready to stack the variables of trading and investing success in your favor, take the opportunity and contact us for a personal demonstration:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are working one-on-one with traders and investors and thus our time is limited. Take the opportunity to build yourself up for being the trader and investor you want to be and get everything you need to quit your job, get the extra income you want, and get the money you want for helping people.

This is a BIG opportunity to change.

It’s right in front of you and I want you to consider it NOW.

The only REAL downside to Instant Impact is that you have to take action and commit to something, but you can see it first:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

So, if you are still reading, check out our info page and make a decision..click.

That’s all I’m asking.

We are in business since 2008 and developed multiple systems and the necessary tools for an attitude and behavior change needed for your desired trading and investing success.

You can find a reason NOT to, or, you can finally do it.
You can break out of your box and leave the risk of paying the market for not being prepared.

It’s time to DECIDE.

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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March 31, 2018 at 10:05 am Leave a comment

Trading and Investing Behavior

30-minutes to change your trading and investing future.

You will only make money trading or investing with the right systematics, attitude, and behavior.

This presentation shows you what is needed and helps you to fill your voids to turn yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

Watch the video…click.

Trading and Investing Behavior.png

Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here…click 

Contact us:  Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

Best regards,

Thomas Barmann

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March 21, 2018 at 6:44 am Leave a comment

Trade and Invest Mind-Based – Not Emotional

We are all driven by emotions; however, when it comes to trading and investing, you should give yourself rules on which you act and not believes.

Intro NeverLossTrading Rule Based Decision Making

What are the dominant emotions driving private investors? Fear and Greed.

The fear of losing, paired with the greed of missing out on an opportunity.

When the Bitcoin was on the hype, I had many who asked for a quick tip – and my answer was: stay out; when the average person starts knowing about an opportunity, it is over and somebody needs to buy at the high – let it not be you.

On a recent advertisement for a trading system that is around since long, the following trade proposal was propagated for AAPL, trading with Vertical Put-Spreads:

  • Maximum profit: $1,100
  • Maximum loss: $1,900

When we calculate the outcome based on different probabilities over 10-trades, you will immediately see that the odds are not much in your favor, even so, the trade was proposed based on the idea that you make money if the share price goes up, moves slightly down, or goes sideways.

10 Trades Win/Loss  50:50  60:40  65:35
Reward 1100 -4000 -1000 500
Risk 1900      

Sure, AAPL is a great company with products we love, but we want to encourage you: stop falling in love or being emotional with investments. At a 65% probability to predict the future, you should not only reach breakeven, you should make money!

A simple basic rule for making money trading: The odds of the trade setup need to be in your favor and you need a system that helps you to predict the future with a high probability.

There are not risk-free trades, and the idea that you can find trades that have a more than two-times the reward, compared to the risk to take, are rare: about 5% to 10% of the opportunities we record. Hence, you are doomed to somewhere trade in the area of a 1:1 reward/risk.

How to make money this way?

By following a system that gives you high probability trade setups ≥ 65%, applying clear cut money management and risk management rules.

Sounds simple, doesn’t it?

It all starts with a system that records the price action of now and proposes when money is flowing in or out of an asset. For you to be part of the directional move, the system shall measure the potential price expansion, the statistical volatility (where to place the stop) and the maximum time in the trade: rule-based trading and investing.

The following examples show, how we initiate trades with buy-stop orders or sell-stop orders when the formulated price threshold is surpassed: Sell<0.7836 e.g., in the price development of the next candle. The stop is at the red-cross-bars. Find your target by a gray dot on the chart. Surely, additional rules apply, which we teach one-on-one, at your best available times.

AUD/USD NeverLossTrading TrendCatching Example

AUD_USD March 12, Example for NLT TrendCatching.png

Each of the highlighted trade situations allowed for an about 25 pip price move to target at a similar risk.

Let us demonstrate rule-based trading on a stock example:

AAPL NeverLossTrading Daily TrendCatching Chart

AAPL March 12, 2018.png

In five trade situations, we had four winning trades and one loss: high probability!

At each situation, the trade target was formulated and so was the stop. Only trades that were according to our reward/risk rule were accepted.

When you want to learn rule-based trading, we are happy to work on a live demonstration with you, where you can experience how our systems work at your preferred assets and time frames.

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already signed up for our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

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March 12, 2018 at 10:17 am Leave a comment

IRA Trading and Investing

What do you do with your retirement money?

Experience what is needed by reading on or by watching the video…click.

Most leave it up to a funds provider to manage their financial future.

The performance measure for fund managers is to meet as close as possible one of the key index measures:

  • Large Cap: DOW or S&P 500
  • Small Cap: Russell 2000

The past two years provided strong overall stock market growth, but what will you do if the performance measure points sideways or down?

Thinking Money Introduction to NeverLossTrading

Then, you will not meet your expected returns and the planned time to reach retirement; or the lifestyle you had planned for is not the same.

Take your financial future into your own hands and learn how to trade or invest!

The difference between trading and investing is only the perspective of how long you expect to hold a position in an asset: Stock, Options, Future, and FOREX.

The system (knowledge), attitude, and behavior needed to produce success is the same!

With the right knowledge, attitude, and behavior, you can make money and reach your investment goals regardless of the markets are going up, down, or move sideways.

Creating trading and investing success is not based on a single decision, it is based on:

Take your financial future into your own hands and trade the markets based on modern algorithms that spell out trading and investing opportunities by following institutional money moves. Analyze the markets in seconds and trade or invest in what you see!

Ford Motor Company 1/16/2018 to 2/16/2018, Daily NeverLossTrading Chart

F Daily Chart

The chart spells out clear directional trading opportunities and trading targets to be reached after a specific period of time, with clear-cut entry conditions: Sell < $12.10; Sell< $11.11.

When the price-move of the next candle reaches the desired price threshold, you go short in the asset.

Wait a moment; you cannot do such in an IRA!

Yes, you can make money when the price of an asset goes down; you just need the knowledge of how to legally and in compliance with the IRA rules, you can participate in such price moves.

Imagine you were able to realize a price drop in less than a month, giving you a 15% return: as you see it on the above chart: This is more than the DOW grew in 12-months in 2016.

When you can imagine this, and then think about the opportunity to leverage your trading success and limiting your overall risk.

How does that sound?

We deliver the system, knowledge, and training needed to get you there. NeverLossTrading is in the trader and investor education business since 2008 and we are open to work with you and teach you in one-on-one sessions at your best available days and times, what is needed to turn yourself into the trader or investor you want to be.

In case you like to invest/trade by a longer-term perspective:

Intel Corporation 1/16 -2/16/2018, Monthly NeverLossTrading Chart

INTC Monthly Chart February 2018

The entry conditions of the NLT-signals were met in the next price candle and came to target, letting you harvest and overall a 22% return in four months; which is about what the DOW grew in 2017 in twelve months.

We are here to teach you and let the chart tell when to buy or sell!

In addition, you will learn multiple trading strategies and how to repair a trade when it goes wrong; which gave us our name: Never Stop Loss Trading, but we shortened it a little.

If you like to learn how to trade and invest the NeverLossTrading way, schedule a free live demo:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you.

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February 18, 2018 at 1:29 pm Leave a comment

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