Stock Trading Challenges
For more than ten years, the stock markets were moving upward and allowed for trend trading, but what do you do if there is no trend to make your friend?
The answer is: Momentum trading; however, it is easier said than done? What momentum to trade for and how?
Read on and watch the movie…click.
Already two questions at once:
- What momentum, meaning the price distance to trade for
- How, meaning with which risk-limiting strategy
We simplify life for you with the NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept: The chart will tell when to buy or sell!
A new price results from a change in supply and demand. In other words: The price express where supply and demand are finding the equilibrium or match.
The following graph shows a situation with an additional demand for a stock at $100. If no additional supply occurs, the equilibrium will move up to match supply and demand at 110.
Supply and Demand Schematic
In the NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept, we make price-move-increments the deciding factor and not time; this is why it is called timeless.
All decision making dimensions are specified at once:
- Entry Conditions: When to trade and probability, with buy-stop or sell-stop orders
- Exit Condition: When is the target reached
- Stop Condition: When are you wrong and exit
- Risk Management: Risk limiting and risk-adjusted by considering the Relation of (Entry – Exit) / (Entry – Stop)
- Time: For how long to maximum stay in a trade
- Options Conditions: Strike price to choose, time to expiration, maximum price to pay for the option
Why do options come into play? I want to trade stocks only?
Momentum trades are typically swing-trades, and positions are kept open for a couple of days. Trading stocks only exposes you to the risk of overnight gaps. Your stop is a market stop, and if you considered a 2% risk and the stock gaps overnight by 10% or more, you book that loss because you accepted an unbalanced risk. Drawdowns are the biggest threat for building up a swing trading account.
The solution to this problem is:
- Trading for the stock price development buy choosing options: in our case, buying Puts or Calls
- Trading stocks in combination with options: Long stock or short stock, together with a protective option
Why do options offer a limited risk trading strategy?
In the strategies we choose, the maximum risk to take is limited by the premium to pay.
But how to know if an option is reasonably priced or overpriced?
This is where the NLT Timeless Tick comes into play: A proprietary algorithm for NLT concept owners that tells you:
- Price-move, not time based when to enter and exit
- Acceptable price range: NLT Timeless Tick ± 20%
- Strike price to choose
- Minimum time to expiration to select
The underlying stock reaching the target will define the exit or the stop, all auto-executed by conditional orders, not requiring you to be in front of your computer.
Best explained by an example:
Here is how the chart looks like:
AAPL, NLT Timeless Swing Trading Chart, 1/20 – 2/24/2021
Chart Analysis:
SPY, NLT Timeless Swing Trading Chart, 1/26 – 2/26/2021
Situation-1: Sell threshold confirmed and came to target the same day.
Situation-2: Sell threshold confirmed and came to target the same day.
Situation-3: Buy threshold confirmed and came to target at the opening of the next day.
Situation-4: Buy > 385.94 came to target the day after entry. The signal after would not be considered by being three price increments away from the buy initiation candle: Buy > 375. 52. We teach those rules in the hours of joint training and coaching
Situation-5: Sell < $388.56 was confirmed the next day and allowed a solid opportunity to buy Put options for following the price development that came to target three days after. Further price indications along the way to target or stop will not be considered.
Situation-6: Buy > $389.73 was stopped two days after entry, and we would not enter at the signal of the exit candle.
Situation-7: the trade is still open at the point of writing this article.
In total: five winning trades, one loss, and one open trade: high probability as we strive for with short-term swing trading opportunities.
The NLT Timeless Swing Trading Concept is only one element of what we teach in the hours of working together. Here a short overview of what you will all experience by operating with automated trading decisions in all of your accounts:
NLT Learning Program Overview
Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
VIX and Stock Market Outlook
On February 25, 202, volatility came back into the financial markets. The VIX is a real-time market index that represents the market’s expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. The VIX is calculated based on the S&P 500 index options; it provides a measure of market risk and investors’ sentiments. It is also known as the “Fear Index.” Uncertainty about the future of consumer spending (we reported on this prior) made the markets move to the downside, but how to use the VIX for finding price turning points? Check the chart above for yesterday’s price development, and it shows three phases of the S&P 500 price development; you were able act on by the NLT Timeless Chart. The market plunge was not foreseeable on the day prior but intraday by the NLT indicators… Do the same for today: prefer shorter-term trading and let the chart tell when to buy or sell!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
Good trading,
Best Stock Trading Potentials 2021 Update
Beginning of the year, we published a list of stock with expected trading potentials:
https://neverlosstrading.wordpress.com/2021/01/06/best-stock-trading-potentials-2021/
We invest to produce a return, so let us check how those did:
Six weeks into the year, the S&P 500 has a development of +5.4%.
Performance of Selected Stocks
Trading by indicators, we do not just add shares to our portfolio; we do this when high probability price moves are indicated.
- Above Average, nine stocks or 65%
- Average, two stocks or 14%
- Below, three stocks or 21%
- In total, the growth of the selected stocks is about double the overall market development.
In our newest concept, we focus on trading multiple times in an evolving price move by eliminating time as a decisive factor:
GOOGL on the NLT Timeless Chart, Feb. 2 – 8, 2021
The chart shows:
- six winning traders, each for about 1.2% return on cash
- one losing trade
AAPL in the overall appraisal performed below the average market; however, with the NLT Timeless concept, the stock provided multiple trading opportunities in January of 2021, for example:
AAPL on the NLT Timeless Chart, January 2021
The AAPL chart shows:
- 12 winning trades with 1.2% average return on cash per transaction (80% winners)
- 3 losing trades
With this concept on hand, you can drastically reduce the number of stocks on your watch list and trade when those trigger a signal on the chart: Entry, exit, and stop are always clearly spelled out. By eliminating time, you act as an independent trader with hard to predict actions: Exactly what you want!
Does the concept work for Futures and FOREX too?
Yes, it does, and we refer to it in another publication or be part of our newest high probability trading concept and let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor.
Schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj: Consulting Hour
Working one-on-one, spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Trading Webinar Invitation
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders said they would have FAILED without learning the tools they needed from other traders!
We want to share our newest developments and concepts to provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge from different trading perspectives.
On February 11, I am taking part in a 3-speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online, so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
It’s also 100% Free and recorded. So make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it). Add this fantastic event to your trading library.
Join me, and let’s take your trading to the next level.
⇒ Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com ⇐
By clicking this link, you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
Here is the line-up for the online event:
11:00 AM ET – Fausto Pugliese “How Retail Reddit Traders Squeezed Wall Street Hedge Funds”
11:45 AM ET – Simon Jousef “Market News and Trading”
12:30 PM ET – Thomas Barmann “Timeless Trading Imperatives”
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Best regards,
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Timeless Trading and Investing
Summary: This is not a play on words, or maybe it is, but we want to introduce a timeless high probability trading concept. The goal is to strive for constant income or low risk, high reward setups. Sure, unbelievable, but what is your risk of learning something new? Just reading-time and the factor time will be taken out of the cohesion. We spent more than 20,000 hours developing our algorithms and concepts, and we exclusively teach one-on-one to a small audience of traders. Hence, this is for serious traders and investors only.
If trading or investing were easy tasks, nobody would ever go to work. The positive news, it is learnable.
As a trader or investor, you want your actions not to be predictable but straightforward and mechanical.
In this publication, we want to show you how to reduce your decision-making base to a minimum with a simple trading concept based on our indicators.
Generally, five dimensions of decision-making need to be covered, and this is where people experience challenges. Time is one of those dimensions, and we will eliminate it aside from other decision-making variables crucial to your success.
Read on and watch the video.
We distinguish trading or investing by holding a position; behavior and decision-making are the same.
- Trading: shorter-term like day trading, swing trading
- Investing: holding positions for multiple days, weeks, months
The complexity of trading and investing comes from a five-dimensional decision-making basis:
- Entry Conditions: When to trade/Invest and probability
- Exit Condition: When is the target reached
- Stop Condition: When are you wrong and exit
- Risk Management: Relation of (Entry – Exit) / (Entry – Stop)
- Time: For how long to stay in a trade
Dimensions of Trading Decisions
The action of trading and investing in many publications is simplified. Considering and acting on five dimensions is not a simple task: This is why many traders face challenges and quickly ruin their accounts, contributing to most traders who are losing instead of winning.
Let us quickly list the necessities of the five dimensions of trading decisions as their pitfalls and then offer a system to prevent falling into those traps:
Entry Conditions
When and how do you enter into a trade?
There are many ways of opening a position:
- acting on stock tips
- deciding by indicators
- gut feeling traders or investment
We have a simple measure to evaluate if the way you want to choose for a trade is giving you a long-term perspective of positive returns:
When you are ≥ 65% right in your decision-making, still, this is not a guaranty for making money. Let me explain why:
Unfortunately, most traders/investors operate with predictability at the 50% level: celebrating winners, disregarding the losers, delivering the first dimension of contributing to the fact that 76% of the retail traders are losing money long-term. A study we made measuring on a 50:50 chance, and even by being offered to copy-trade the most successful traders’ entries, 76% of the retail traders lost money.
If you want to receive the background on 76% of retail traders lose money: contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: 76%
Covering five dimensions of trading is a challenge, and even by predicting directional price moves ≥ 65%, is still no guarantee for making money. By continue reading, you will learn why.
Exit Conditions
Do you specify your target at entry and how?
Many, particularly novice traders, always aim to speak in baseball terms for the fences, while you rather win the game by filling the bases.
Such, they hold until the price move is over or reverts, and instead of producing the desired win, they scratch the trade or close it with a loss. They are ruining their accounts in a pattern of little gains and bigger losses.
Stop Conditions
Tight stops lead to frequent stops, and often trades commence in the desired direction, and you are no more part of it. Did you experience this?
Wide stops have a better perspective to come to target; however, risk and reward need to be balanced. In many cases, novice traders take a too risky stand and get ripped apart by drawdowns. This brings us to the next dimension:
Risk Management
How much risk can you take?
It all depends on the predictability of your trading or investing decisions. Let us put it into a calculation matrix, assuming that you want to have at minimum a 5% edge in reward over risk.
| System Probability | Max Risk on a 5% Edge in relation to Reward | Expected Return | Expected Return @ 1:1 Risk/Reward | Expected Return @ 1:1 Risk/Reward |
| 50% | 45% | 5% | 0% | -10% |
| 55% | 50% | 5% | 10% | 1% |
| 60% | 55% | 5% | 20% | 12% |
| 65% | 60% | 5% | 30% | 23% |
| 70% | 65% | 5% | 40% | 34% |
Indeed, we all want to aim for the perfect condition of low risk and high reward. Unfortunately, risk and reward statistically are not widely distributed like that: Meaning, there are only a few instances where a small risk and high reward perspective is known at entry. In most cases, risk and reward are in balance or even slightly in disfavor of the entry-to-target versus entry-to-stop condition. When we are working together, we share more details on this and can provide you with a systematic system that will help you aim for higher targets than the risk you take.
Let us demonstrate how to get around this issue. When you read the table right, you see, the solution is in a higher probability system, which is usually only found in algorithmic trading systems, where the computer helps you to spot and follow developing price moves repetitively.
Time
Trading charts and the decision usually consider time-based happening: intraday, daily, weekly, monthly, and draw candles/bars according to the chosen time frame to evaluate the trade situation; thus, the question arises:
For how long do you plan to stay in a trade?
There is are three potential answers:
- When either the stop or target is attained
- The trade will be closed at a pre-defined time if neither stop nor target is reached
- You decide on the way, best with a trailing stop
With our systems, we offer solutions to all three time-perspectives, but today we will take all but the entry condition off, and the system will answer all other dimensions in itself.
How do we eliminate time, and why?
We simplify the chart and just put an entry condition on it, and it automatically paints the target, stop. Every trade concludes by either coming to the target or stop on momentum trades; however, if you sign up for the concept, we also share the rules for a trend trade that offers a relatively low risk in relation to the expected reward.
AAPL, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
The above chart shows the trade situations of AAPL between January 15th and 29th, 2021.
In total: Fifteen trading opportunities occurred, and twelve (80%) of those ended up winning; three (20%) got stopped by following the momentum trading concept.
Trades were indicated by the NLT Trend Catching signals at a pre-defined NLT Timeless Chart.
Aside from the momentum trade, the system offered trend trading opportunities to aim for a multi-time reward compared to the risk to take. Again, you enter when the NLT Trend Catching Price Treshoold is surpassed, and you trail your stop by the red crossbar of the NLT Trend Catching Indications. The NLT Boxes tile up defines when to trade for a momentum or trend move. We teach the details in our training units.
MCD, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
DIS, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
MCD and DIS happened to be at the same NLT Timeless Price Ticks and produced very high probability setups in the observed period.
As an existing or new client, contact us for a quote and personal demonstration:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: Time
Trading by one dimension works as follows:
- If the buy/sell threshold: Buy > or Sell < is fulfilled by 2% of an SPU leads to a trade entry
- Exit when a 1-SPU price move is concluded (taken off the NLT Speedometer box on the top left of the NLT charts)
- Stop at the red crossbar on the trade initiation candle
- Buy-stop, sell stop orders with OCO bracket, executed from the active trader or trade ladder: 1-SPU-wide OCO order with adjusting the stop
- If you open and close more than three positions the same day in one week, pattern day trading with account holdings above $25,000 is required by SEC regulation
- Options trading the chart happening is taught on demand, and we specify with you: Strike price to choose, time to expiration, the maximum premium to pay and expected return at target
- Goal: More winning than losing trades and longer runs, so risk and reward are in a favorable balance
- In case you trade this concept with an IRA, take long stock trading opportunities only and try to cover short opportunities through Put option trades (we teach you how in our mentorship programs).
- Mechanical rules will be shared when you sign up with the NeverLossTrading education program.
Compared to traffic rules, those are not many to learn, and you sure know how to manage a vehicle in traffic.
Here another example:
FB, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
With the NLT Timeless Trend Catching Concept, multiple strong developing short-term trades were indicated and followed.
When you work with us, we offer multiple programs and trading strategies aside from what we showed in this publication and train you one-on-one at your best available days and hours.
Trust me; you want the training; it will be eye-opening!
Does the program work for Futures too?
The answer is yes.
Let us give you a short demonstration for the /ES: E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Contract:
/ES, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
The example for the most recent price development of the /ES shows on a momentum trading concept, in two trading days:
- ten winning trades
- three losing trades
/CL, NLT Trend Catching Chart, January 2021
The indicated opportunities and the results speak for themselves.
Learn how to operate with mechanical trading decisions in all of your accounts, covering the topics laid out in the following chart:
NLT Learning Program Overview
Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Trading and Investing Imperatives
Summary: We explain what is needed to be a consistent trader or investor and formulate the action steps to chose and follow. Read on and watch the video.
We distinguish trading or investing by the time of holding a position:
- Trading: shorter-term like day trading (opening and closing positions the same day or Swing-Trading (holding position for a couple of days)>
- Investing: holding positions for multiple days, weeks, months.
About 80 million people have IRA or 401 (k) accounts in the US, mostly focused buy-and-hold. About 25 million margin accounts are held, with about five million frequent traders trying to control their financial destiny and do not leave it up to a money manager.
Unfortunately, only a small percentage of the traders/investors understand trading imperatives and why they are essential for long-term success.
At a 50:50 chance, 76% of the private investors lose money, even by copying the most successful traders’ entries.
If you want to receive the background on 76% of retail traders lose money: contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: 76%
What is missing?
An easy explanation:
When you know or can copy successful entry strategies: Stop, and positive exit are still unknown variables that need to be controlled to achieve trading and investing success.
Let us talk about stops first:
- Tight stops lead to always being stopped, and then trades commences in the desired direction, and you are not part of it.
- Wide stops: then risk and reward get out of balance, and you lose more than you win, and such, trading has a negative outlook.
This is where you need a system that tells you how far a price move most-probably will last and where to place your stop for bringing your trade to target without being stopped on the way.
In essence: Perfect entry conditions, like in stock tips, still will not make you a profitable trader.
Bringing the critical variables together: Mechanical, clearly defined rules are needed from your system to make you a profitable trader or investor:
- System defined entry
- System defined exit
- System defined stop
Important: Rules are of need, regardless of the time you intend to hold a position.
Let us talk about average attainments of money managers and private investors in IRA and 401(k) accounts, where most leave their financial future up to money managers:
95% barely make it to produce results as the index: S&P 500, DOW, NASDAQ, Russell, others:
Fidelity Software and IT Fund compared to S&P 500
The chart shows a six-month comparison, and the Fidelity Fund performed negative 3.1% below the overall market. However, for technology, we should compare against a technology index and do so:
Fidelity Software & IT Fund compared to XLK (SPDR ETF)
Compared to XLK, the SPDR Technology ETF, Fidelity had a negative 9.2% development.
If you do not care about your money, nobody else will!
The key to successful longer-term investing is operating with a system to tell when to buy or sell:
Swing Trading Example: AAPL Daily Chart
On January 20, 2021, the NLT Top-Line indicator and scanner reported an opportunity:
- Buy if the price development of the next candle > $132.49
- The price threshold was surpassed on January 21, 2021
- The second dot on the chart indicated the exit or target: 138.47 (4.5% return on cash, 9% on margin in one day)
- This target was reached on January 21, and the trade either was closed or trailed with the red stop-line on the chart, and you would still be in it.
Swing Trading Example: JPM Daily Chart
On January 6, 2021, the NLT Top-Line indicator and scanner reported an opportunity:
- Buy if the price development of the next candle > $132.77
- The price threshold was surpassed on January 7, 2021
- The second dot on the chart indicated the exit or target: $140.13 (5.5% return on cash, 11% on margin in 5 days)
- This target was reached on January 12, and the trade either was closed
- On January 15, 2020, the alarm bells were ringing on JPM, indicating that the stock has a high tendency for falling prices, and it happened when the system spelled out price threshold was surpassed to the downside
This shall show you how we systematically find and execute investment opportunities with quality stocks that allow risk limited trading strategies, executable from any account.
Day trading in itself is another limited risk strategy by preventing the risk of overnight gaps. Here is a recent example:
E-Mini S&P 500 Trading Chart, January 25, 2021
The chart shows eight trade situations, where seven were winners. To get all the details involved, please watch the video.
When you work with us, we offer you two configurations of NLT Top-Line with either 10 or 20 hours of training.
Trust me; you want the training; it will be eye-opening!
You learn how to operate with mechanical trading decisions in all of your accounts, covering the topics laid out in the following chart:
NLT Learning Program Overview
Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Pro Day Trading Strategy
We highly propagate risk-limiting strategies: day trading is sure one of them, but not the only one.
Watch the details in our video!
Unfortunately, 76% of all day traders are losing money?
We cover why in a separate publication, and if you like to read it: contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj.: Day Trading
When day trading mainstream-time-frames, you might expose yourself to predictable stops.
Reason: Because it is foreseeable from your entry and the timeframe you choose to observe the markets, what your next move will be. Compare it to playing chess, and your opponent already knows your next move and counter it before you even have a chance to develop your pressure point.
But how to be different?
By choosing non-time-based strategies!
We teach this in our mentorships and come to highly predictable outcomes with a trading system where indicators highlight the trade potential with three dimensions:
- Entry condition through a buy-stop or sell-stop order
- Exit condition by a pre-defined price distance to trade for
- Stop condition by the trade initiation setup
Mechanical as mechanical can be and most important: repetitive.
Are there rules to learn?
Definitively: rule-based trading hast rules like operating in traffic; if you follow them, you have a highly predictable way to get to the target if you do not expose yourself to an unbalance risk for not getting there.
Let us share two examples: Watch the video for the details…
/ES NLT Top-Line Chart, January 15, 2021
/CL, NLT Top-Line Chart, January 15, 2021
In our teaching and coaching, you will experience multiple dimensions of trading:
| Our Offer | Investment |
| Indicators Installed for you | 10-hours of learning |
| Charts Setup for you | Learning new ways of trading |
| Teaching Multiple Strategies | Multiple streams of income |
| 2-Months of Coaching | Multiple Strategies |
| 2-Months of NLT Alerts | $6,500 (one-time payment) |
Traits to learn:
- Analytical: Logical, systematic, mind driven
- Decisions Marking: Responsibility-taking
- Strategic: Plan/concept focused, longer-term oriented
- Openness: Accepting and living with changes
- Stress Resistance: Anger management, fear handling
- Risk Tolerance: Affinity to the risk and risk handling
- Knowledge Management: Gaining, adding, adjusting knowledge
- Self Discipline: Prepared, focused, repetitive
The following chart demonstrates how such a system, even during the official stock market closing hours, can produce opportunities to follow:
/ES NLT Top-Line Chart, January 17/18/19, 2021
Aside from day trading, learn in a holistic approach how to produce multiple steams of income through all accounts:
Decide and trade on NLT price move indications and experience in a live session what we can do for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited:
Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Do you have an IRA, 401(k) Trading Strategy
Private investors hold most of their savings in IRA and 401(k) accounts: generally core long.
What will happen in a market downdraft?
Your retirement income is at stake.
Hence, learn how to trade those accounts to leverage and protect your saving.
We share concepts and strategies for every account type.
If you do not care about your financial future, nobody else will.
Take the chance to meet with us to consult we can do for you:
By the market recovering from the first pandemic wave, most private investors are content. Do not expose yourself to potential downside risk; learn to take advantage of market changes.
Only short-term, we would like to provide you with an eBook with concepts on how to trade your retirement accounts.
Download your copy and contact us for a personal consultation:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading, Subj. Retirement.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Good trading,
Thomas
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
Best Stock Trading Potentials 2021
We enjoy a wide range of stock trading potentials. The US exchanges offer at least 5,000 well tradable stocks based on daily volume; however, where to concentrate or focus?
Read on or watch the video…click.
The US consumer behavior and the economy shifted, and a battle about your time at home started.
By year-end 2020, the following companies represent the top five US companies by market capitalization: AAPL (6.4%), MSFT(5.4%) AMZN (4.5%), GOOGL and GOOG (3.5%), FB (2.2%). These five top players have one common battleground: Your home, your home time and entertainment, reaching from intelligent home controls, streaming services to TV broadcasting. Let us give you some examples:
- Apple TV, Home Kit
- MSFT Home Entertainment incl. Xbox
- Amazon Fire, Alexa
- Goggle TV, Google Home
- Facebook Watch (on-demand video)
In 2021, we most likely have at least one of those challenging NFLX, ROKU, and the broadcasting companies. NVDA, as the high-end graphics card producer, will be part of the technological backbone for the battle to come.
There will be winners and losers and lots of news to drive the stocks, battling about your time at home. Not everything will just work out from the get-go: check on Google’s venture into the online gamers world that failed in the first instance based on too low internet speed, but Google is still on the case.
Hence, put the AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, FB, NVDA on your watch list and trade along on reliable NLT signals.
Adding to the entertainment business in a different dimension: JP Morgan is currently negotiating to initiate and finance a European soccer league, with 18 clubs, focusing on bringing the soccer stars weekly on the screen to 300 million people, supported by the applicable advertisement. You might think, what does it have to do with the big five US companies?
Imagine one of those obtaining the broadcasting rights to this super soccer channel, which can attract the same or more people than the Superbowl.
However, to the insiders, the new soccer broadcast financed by JPM might be old news; let us check on the JPM chart, and we choose a 2-day chart for taking volatility out, and you see on the candle of November 2, 2020:
- Buy > $104.74 (NLT Top-Line Buy Signal if the next candle price is above $104.74, which it was and such validated the direction of your buy-stop-orders.
- CiC > $104.74 (Change in Command, buyers are taking over from seller)
Does that mean the hype is over?
Absolutely not; stocks have an upward rising and downward falling pattern. The NLT signals alarm you about critical price turning points by formulating price thresholds: Buy > or Sell <. You best have leveraging strategies on hand for trading both directions with any account (IRA,401(k), Margin).
When the next candle surpasses those price thresholds, a new trade direction is validated to trade along with high probability setups.
JPM 2-Day NLT Top-Line Chart, Nov. – Dec. 2020
We hope you appreciate our abstract reasoning for stock in focus 2021, but we are not finished yet!
When a stock market index adds new companies, fund managers orient themselves towards replicating the index need to buy into the stock, which offers trading opportunities. We highlight the ones fulfilling NLT criteria:
- S&P 500 add ons: TSLA, ETSY, DXCM
- NASDAQ 100: MRVL, MTCH, OKTA, PTON
- DOW 30: DOW
Our trading concept remains the same: Trade on confirmed NLT signals only.
Here an Example for PTON (home fitness and workout), where we display the NLT Top-Line signals on a weekly chart.
The chart shows two trading opportunities:
- 11/30, long signal with a clearly defined target
- 12/14, long signal with a clearly defined target
PLTON Weekly Chart, November and December 2020
Decide and trade on NLT price move indications and experience in a live session what we can do for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited:
Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Trading and Investing Competency
The difference between trading and investing lies in the time of keeping a position open; decision-making and behavior are the same.
Where do you stand in achieving your trading and investing goals?
- Top 25% (where you need to be to make money)
- Average (get help to learn what is needed)
- Bottom 25% (invest in skill and knowledge first)
How good are we in rating our competency?
Answering the competency question helps us to tell when we can forge ahead or better seek help…read on or watch the video.
Let us, in the next step, make trading and investing competency a little bit more specific:
It would go too far, explaining all trading and investing competency elements now, but if you are interested, we are happy to share another article about the subject matter with you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj. Competency
As humans, one of our psychological patterns is called the Dunning-Kruger effect. It tells us that we vastly rate our competence level much higher than it is in multiple competency fields.
In short: People’s incompetence prevents them from recognizing their own ineptitude.
In competence tests, probands that lost four out of five competence challenges still rated their competency on the subject matter above 65% and rated the winners’ competency lower.
The question: How to get around it?
With an increase in subject matter competency, the level of confidence in the own ability and skill comes to a level where it relates reality and perceived reality in a more related fashion.
Danning-Kruger Effect on Competency and Confidence
If trading or investing were easy, nobody would ever go back to work, but it is learnable, and competency can be built and obtained. Just do not risk your money with high confidence and little competency.
The competency curve-pattern replicates the typical upside price-move-graph, published in our book “Integrated Trading and Investing System.”
Price is the result of a change in supply and demand. By the natural interaction of market participants, patterns are produced, repeat themselves and can be followed:
Institutional Investor interaction-based Price Pattern
Reasons for this price pattern:
- Pro-Traders invest and trigger additional demand for an asset, which results in increasing prices
- Followers jump on the opportunity, and their demand further is increasing the price for the asset
- Gate Keepers flood supply to rebalance their inventory with the aim to accumulate assets at lower prices to sell them back into the market at the second demand spike
On such a pattern, you want to act at two points:
- At the initiation phase
- At the continuation phase
The institutional driven upside price pattern is not only a theoretical example but a road map for your trading success.
Math is the science we use to detect and portray those institutional investor-based price patterns. By our research, we state the following findings and conditions:
- Specific price patterns are infinitely repeating and self-similar across different scales: various time frames, tick charts, range bars.
- They are created by repeating a simple process over and over in an ongoing feedback loop: an initiation of a price change, causing a reaction.
- Driven by recursion, they are part of a dynamic system and thus, give us an ability to predict the future happening with a high probability.
AAPL Daily NLT Top-Line Chart June 22 to August 12, 2016
The above graph shows you a daily chart for AAPL, and we painted the price pattern of the graphic.
The resulting graphic combines NLT-Price-Threshold-Indicators and the assumed institutional driven price pattern:
- On the orange signal: Buy > 92.9, a Pro-Trader demand was indicated early in the price curve.
- At the blue signal: Buy > 98.99, followers bought AAPL shares. The target dot at the signal specifies with a target dot, how far the potential price move might reach; helping you to not getting stopped when the inventory re-balancing takes place.
- Prior to earnings declaration, supply came in, and AAPL prices dropped, allowing key asset holders to buy back the asset in demand at lower prices, to then sell after earnings at higher prices to those who created the second demand phase.
If you are following the shown systematic, you can catch three positive trades. To demonstrate that this was not a singular happening form 2016, let us document the most recent price development of AAPL:
AAPL NLT Top-Line Chart, Decembr 2020
You see two trade indications: Buy > 123.47 and Buy 127.9.
Let us draw the referring supply- and demand pattern:
AAPL NLT Top-Line Chart, Decembr 2020
In summary, consider the following in your trading decisions:
- Have a system based indication of Pro-Traders initiated first-level of demand.
- That followers either trade with or against the new direction.
- When the Followers trade with the new direction by taking the high of our signal out, you enter a trade and understand that a price move does not go forever and thus, you take a meaningful bar- or time-based exit.
This way, you can follow a repetitive pattern that is supply- and demand-based and describes the reality, where Leaders, Gate Keepers, and Followers go to the market with different strategies; however, you can now spot and follow the new price direction.
The question is: Do you possess enough knowledge and skill to put what we shared here in action. Or do you instead want to take our offer for a free session with an expert where we look where you stand and develop a concept to train and coach you with the help of our systems for making competent decisions?
We teach in a holistic approach the step in learning how to turn yourself into the trader and investor you want to be:
Experience in a live session what we can do for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Schedule your consulting hour and consider that we will teach you on all variables needed for trading and investing success.
The frightening truth: 76% of private investors lose money!
We base this number on a study we conducted:
US regulations do not require brokers to publish the win or loss rate of retail traders. We are an algorithmic trading house and such, decide on numbers and quantifiable instances rather than assumptions. To come to a quantifiable answer to this question, we made a little excursion:
European brokerages that offer leveraged products like CFDs need to report their clients’ success rate. A contract for differences (CFD) is a financial contract that pays the differences in the settlement price between the open and closing trades. CFDs exist for indexes, commodities, currencies, ETFs, stocks, and more. They essentially allow investors to trade the direction of securities over a chosen period, often short-term (day trading). CFDs are cash-settled and allow ample margin trading so that investors only need to put up a small amount of the contract’s notional payoff.
In essence, on CFDs, you either bet up or down. This far, CFD trading is not allowed for US traders, and we are not here to propagate it, but it gives us the basis to judge the average win rate of US retail traders.
Comparing directional trading to a coin toss, we could estimate the average success rate would be around 50%.
In reality, though, the success numbers average is about 24%, or 76% of the private investors lose money trading.
Ensuring that we are not talking about a single instance, we ran an analysis for the top-10 CFD brokers that operate in multiple countries and report a substantial client base of traders: IG, for example, was founded in 1974 and reported 273,000 clients in 2020.
Clients Success Rate with CFD Brokers
Some of these brokers, like “etoro,” offer copy trading. A client can follow traders’ highly successful moves, and still, 75% of the “etoro” clients lose money. Obviously, an exact copy of successful traders’ actions does not work: You see the stats and picks of successful traders but not their decision-making basis. In consequence: replicating statistical success appears to be a challenge.
Who had assumed such a high rate of losing traders?
Why should the US futures stats or speculative directional option/stock trading statistics be different?
We say that they are not:
With a robust ASSUMPTION, about 75% or two-thirds of the US traders lose money, particularly day traders.
What are the reasons for this, and how can you change to this?
As you can imagine, there is no single and straightforward answer; however, success has a structure. We went to dissect the critical elements of trading and investing success to add them to your knowledge and skillset.
We teach in a holistic approach the step in learning how to turn yourself into the trader and investor you want to be:
Experience in a live session what we can do for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited:
Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Year End Gifts for Traders and Investors
Let us talk about value today:
Our days, we associate value with the price we pay for a good or service. If something is for free, we do not associate value with it.
True or true?
Another, more widely used meaning of value is a measure of usefulness. Usefulness dramatically depends on the circumstances and the association of a need.
If you are in a critical situation, you are willing to pay a high price for a solution. In case it does not matter, you do not even want the solution for free.
Your financial future shall be critical to you:
You cannot save your way to financial freedom!
At times of zero percent interest, you need to take a risk for achieving a return.
The financial markets are the place to operate in for achieving the return on your investment you desire.
However, if trading was easy, nobody would ever go back to work!
The good thing: Trading and Investing is learnable.
You need knowledge and skill to operate in the financial markets and align multiple success variables for paving your way to trading and investing success.
As a year-end gift, we would like to share what is critical to turning yourself into the trader and investor you want to be and provide for short-term only, a free eBook that spells out why to:
“Learn Trading and Investing”…click.
Our mission statement says:
“We teach ways to financial freedom and security by educating people to continuously produce wealth in the financial markets regardless of the directions the markets take.”
Trading is a science in itself, and I can say: I tried out most of everything possible and gained a lot of experience. My trading education cost me an arm and a leg in two ways: What I spent on money and time for learning and what I sunk-in because I followed brokers’ advice and trading systems that did not work until I developed NeverLossTrading.
When I had my trading system working for me, a friend of mine told me the story of Alfred Bernhard Nobel (1833 –1896), the Swedish chemist and engineer. The value this story carried got me inspired to enter into the “investor education business.” Alfred Nobles brother Ludwig died while visiting Cannes, and a French newspaper erroneously published in bold: “Dr. Alfred Nobel (the inventor of dynamite), who became rich by finding ways to kill more people faster than ever before, died yesterday.”
He was shocked by reading his life’s memories in such a summary and decided to start his own legacy. He set aside the bulk of his estate to establish the Nobel Prizes, honoring those who produced progress for the world.
It is the right thing to make the world a better place by sharing knowledge and giving education. The knowledge of how to trade the financial markets is kept by a tiny group of people, and those who enter without being well prepared mostly donate their hard-earned money to those who know.
With enormous dedication and personal effort, I documented NeverLossTrading. For years, working seven days a week, and more than 12 hours a day, putting together easily understandable and repeatable trading concepts. NeverLossTrading is a division of Nobel Living, LLC. Now you know how we came up with the company name. We are already more than ten years in business and helped many traders/investors to achieve their dreams.
By the way, NeverLossTrading derives from the concept of repairing trades instead of taking the stop loss, and we found NeverStopLossTrading a bit lengthy.
If you are ready to learn to trade and invest by striving for returns, check the following table of motivations and actions for reaching your dreams:
| Motivations | Actions |
| Not being able to afford what you want: | Learn how you can give yourself financial comfort. |
| Fear of running out of money in retirement: | NeverLossTrading teaches ways to retire financially safe. |
| Many people do not like what they do for a living: | Let us provide another avenue. |
| Freedom often means to not work for others: | We give you a way to run your own home-based business. |
| The financial markets can provide what we want: | Execute concepts to participate in financial wealth. |
| Deciding how to use time is freedom per se: | We share ways to get there. |
| Life is precious: | Learn and apply our ways of living life financially free. |
| It is hard to achieve gratitude and rewards in a job: | Give it to yourself through financial investments. |
Being an entrepreneur, I surely want a return on the investments made for NeverLossTrading. On the other hand, I want to make the world a better place by helping a broad base of people with smaller investment budgets to make money off the markets.
Such, I decided to write an article about critical success factors for trading and investing. The article also includes a 20-minute video covering the key concept of picking and trading stocks. Read on at our blog:
https://neverlosstrading.wordpress.com/2020/12/12/stock-picking-2020-2021/
STOCK PICKING 2020/2021 | NeverLossTrading Blog (wordpress.com)
Take the next step in learning how to turn yourself into the trader and investor you want to be:
Experience in a live session what we can do for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Schedule your consulting hour and consider that we will teach you on all variables needed for long-term trading and investing success.
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited:
Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
STOCK PICKING 2020/2021
Which stocks to pick, and how will the stock market progress?
Watch the video and read the text…
The year 2020 is ending; let us look in retrospect to what we focused on and where things might be going. There is an old saying: sell in May and go away; however, we did not comply with this wisdom and spelled out potentially strong stocks for 2020. You can find the original article from May 4th on our blog.
Here are the growth stocks we put forward end of April 2020:
To answer how the stocks we picked did perform since May of 2020, we compare them to the S&P 500 Stock Market Index based on the SPY (ETF) – the pink line on the chart.
AMZN (red/blue line) and SPY Development Compared
It is easy to identify winners in hindsight, but please consider that we picked those stocks end of April for investments in the first week of May 2020 (here the original publishing). If you held AMZN from May to today (mid-December), you would still be ahead of the average market development by about 10%.
However, we do not believe in buy and hold!
If we plan to stay longer in an asset, we use the weekly chart, and the following indicators help your decision making:
- NLT Double Decker Study to trail the stop. The study paints uprising momentum in blue and bearish momentum in red. The red line on the chart, framing the price move, works as a trailing stop.
- NLT SPU measure to define a maximum of a 2-SPU price move from entry. With the help of the NLT-SPU, we measure the expected price move, and you find the measure at the top left on the chart dashboard. In the daily chart above, you see an SPU of $58.1 for AMZN.
- NLT max of 10-candles in one sequence without triggering the NLT Double Decker trailing stop, and then we close the trade at the close of candle ten.
In the AMZN case, entry was at $2,256 and exit at $3,100 (a 37% return in two months): the trailing stop got triggered at candle ten of the sequence (see Stop on the chart).
AMZN Weekly Chart and Comparison to the S&P 500
A meaningful question at this point: Why did you sell the stock?
We follow a system with mechanical rules and find other opportunities where the money can work for you.
A simple problem for private investors: We usually find more investment alternatives than we have money. If you use NLT Top-Line, you have your own market scanners that help you finding those trades.
Aside, we offer the NLT Alerts and offer you a two-week free trial: contact@NeverLossTrading.com, Subj: Free Alerts #79. Such you will get our stock picks free of charge.
Our systems provide clearly defined entry and exit signals. From there, we stay in a trade for 1-10 bars and expect a rebalancing of inventories by key holders after; such, we exit the trade and find a new opportunity.
Let us quickly analyze the AAPL trade development:
The trade entry was in the week of May 4th, 2020, at $ 75 with an exit after 10-blue NLT Candles at $92, right before earnings: a 23% growth (calculated at values after the split). After the earnings declaration, we had a re-entry with an NLT Top-Line buy signal at $107 with exit at target-2 (dot on the chart, painted by the indicators): $125 (17% growth).
This hopefully explains why we do not propagate to buy and hold stocks forever; we exit position either after a pre-defined price move of 2-SPUs, or after 10-candles, or at the stop.
AAPL Weekly Chart and Comparison to the S&P 500
The QQQ followed the same rational; however, ABBV had a very different price pattern than AAPL or the NASDAQ:
Following the NLT Top-Line principles, here are the ABBV trades for May to December 2020:
- Entry at $86 with exit (stop) at $95, week of 6/8/2020 (a 10% return on investment).
- Re-Entry at $97.50 and exit at target-2: $108.50 (11% ROI).
ABBV Weekly Chart and Comparison to the S&P 500
You see that buying and holding ABBV would have achieved the same growth from entry as the S&P 500 (pink line); however, by trading for pre-defined price moves, with pre-defined stops, and re-entry signals, we could move our money to different assets that had favorable price moves.
In the example, you also see short-selling opportunities. We highly encourage you to have strategies where you can follow downside price moves for each of your accounts (in particular IRAs). We teach the usage of signals and strategies in multiple hours of working together in our mentorships.
CIEN Weekly Chart and Comparison to the S&P 500
Here is how you can follow the NeverLossTrading signals:
- For CIEN, we entered at $48 and exited the trade after 10-candles at $56 (17% growth)
- After the week of 8/24/2020, a short opportunity was confirmed and followed to target-2 ($5.50 price move of 11%)
- In the week of 11/2/2020, a new long opportunity was indicated and confirmed with a price move from $42.50 to $48 (growth of 14%)
We hope you see how our system can help you to pick the right stocks and signal to trade/invest at strong directional price turning points, allowing you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.
There are multiple components to consider in your trading and investing endeavors, and we help you to learn those.
Trading and investing success is based on multiple critical variables. All are important, and neglecting one or another can lead to fatal results.
The financial markets offer a wide range of opportunities to engage:
- Stocks, their options
- Futures: indexes, commodities, treasuries, currencies
- FOREX pairs
Trading or investing is a professional business, where the other side of your trade is prepared to take your money.
As a private investor, you can enter and exit entire positions much faster than institutions can. Even so, this gives you an edge; you need to consider multiple variables to bend the odds in your favor. A holistic approach means to provide the support that looks at trading or investing as a whole, not just one or two components. Let us put the puzzle pieces together:
Success Factors for Trading and Investing
The graphic shows that multiple variables build the basis for trading or investing success; if not considered, you are set up for failure. Unfortunately, the average private investor has only some critical success factors in their skillset or preparation.
The good news: Considering all components and going to the markets with a holistic approach is learnable.
The difference between trading and investing is just the time of intending to keep a position open; behavior and approach are the same:
- Day trading: opening and closing positions the same day
- Swing trading: holding positions for multiple days
- Longer-term investing: holding positions for weeks, months, or even years
Unfortunately, beginning traders often focus on very short time frames, which puts you under enormous pressure to do things right with little time to decide. If you are familiar with the game of chess, you better be a master of the game and trained to win a blitz tournament where your total time for each game is five minutes.
In the graphic, where we spelled out the components needed for trading and investing success, you see that we gave two variables a more significant influence: System- and Risk-Limited Strategies. However, they do not provide a shortcut; all of the variables listed and working as a whole is essential for producing long-term trading or investing success. Disregarding just one component can still be fatal for the long-term results.
By applying and believing in algorithmic trading systems, let us choose a quantitative approach to evaluate each component of a holistic approach to trading: We spell out a success formula using a scoring model with the following scales.
| 0, if nonexistent | 1, for basic |
| 2, for advanced | 3, for fully implemented |
Each success factor has a percentage weight relative to the importance. The actual score is calculated by multiplying the weight x 100 x the score. The following table expresses the max value of this calculation.
In the next step, we will build a function and highlight minimum requirements for entering the zone of being prepared for trading and investing success to compare actual situations to minimum requirements.
Components of a Holistic Approach for Trading or Investing Evaluated
| Success Factor | Explanation | Weight | Score | Max |
| Price Move Indication | System-specified entries, exits, stops with a proven track record | 30% | 0-3 | 90 |
| Risk-Limiting Strategies | Never lose more than anticipated and leverage your runners | 20% | 0-3 | 60 |
| Trade Finder | Cater or get opportunities catered to you, system-validated and strategy-based | 10% | 0-3 | 30 |
| Trade Repair | When a trade goes wrong, reduce your losses or even turn losing into a winning trade | 10% | 0-3 | 30 |
| Money Management | Stay around 80% InvestedOperate with a system-balanced portfolio of long and short positionsDefine your investment volume by the odds of the trade setup | 10% | 0-3 | 30 |
| Business Plan | Never get into the market unpreparedOperate by a clear action plan, when to trade and when not to tradeFollow a financial plan with a defined amount of trades expected and return rates | 10% | 0-3 | 30 |
| Account Management | Have an investment strategy for every account: 401(k), IRA, Margin, Cash Account | 10% | 0-3 | 30 |
| Total | 100% | 21 | 300 |
Based on a weighted scoring model, a function between 0 (nonexistent), towards a max score of 300 can be extrapolated as follows:
A simple looking function, but where are the crucial points?
In essence, you need to score above 200 points for having a chance to produce long-term trading and investing success.
Let us pick an example of an average beginning trader:
Scoring Model of an Average Beginning Trader
| Success Factor | Explanation | Weight | Score | Total |
| Price Move Indication | Low probability or emotional entries | 30% | 1 | 30 |
| Risk-Limiting Strategies | Long, operating with stops | 20% | 1 | 20 |
| Trade Finder | Subscription or system for trade finding (does what others tell to do) | 10% | 2 | 20 |
| Trade Repair | Not in the skillset | 10% | 0 | 0 |
| Money Management | Low investment level or 100% invested Similar lot sizes per investment | 10% | 1 | 20 |
| Business Plan | Nothing in writing; off the cuff investment | 10% | 0 | 0 |
| Account Management | Random or provider following account management for 401(k), IRA, Margin Accounts | 10% | 1 | 20 |
| Total | 5 | 110 |
With a score of 110, this trader is not fit to produce long-term success. The minimum threshold to reach out for trading and investing success is ≥ 200.
Behavior change and support in multiple dimensions are critical for making money from the financial markets. At the current stage, the trader is not ready to compete.
Trading and investing can be learned, but multiple critical factors need to be installed into your skillset and daily routine. Adults often tend to resent such feedback, feeling fit for everything; however, we want to caution you, money goes quick in the financial markets and those who fail to prepare, prepare to fail.
All of us can think back at school times; either you made the score or the team, but we had to pass minimum requirements. The same counts for trading and investing. The incumbent market players welcome you to lose your money; no need for you to pass a test or minimum score.
The good news: We can provide you with all components, reaching from system to account management. Such, we offer to work one-on-one with you, focusing on your wants and needs, building up your skillset and knowledge to develop you into the trader and investor you want to be.
The investment that pays the highest return is the investment in you: We provide individual training units in the price range of $2,497 to $9,997 and offer multiple systems and time units for working together:
- TradeColors.com is our introduction unit into algorithmic trading.
- NeverLossTrading Top-Line is the top of the line, providing the strongest and frequent setups to execute on.
- Multiple in-between systems work as stand-alone or in combination with other systems.
About 50% of our clients buy more than one system from us.
Why do they do so?
After earning the tuition for the first mentorship, they want:
- A higher participation rate and return from trading
- More knowledge
- Further expand their skillset
Basing your trading and investing decisions by defined rules is learnable, and we are here to support you!
Experience live how our systems work to find which one is best suited for you:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Schedule your consulting hour! Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
Let us show you two system examples, where the charts tell when to buy or sell:
NASDAQ 100 Futures Contract, 2h TradeColros.com Chart
With TradeColors.com, trade setups use the following rules:
- Two new same color candles and the third candle’s price development takes out the high of the prior blue candle (Buy-Stop Entry) or low of the prior red candle (Sell-Stop Entry).
- Trade for a system pre-defined approximated price move, in this example: $89.4 (measure changes bar-by-bar) or $1,788 of a value change of a mini contract ($179, when trading a micro contract).
- Exit time- based if the desired price move is not concluded at candle four in the trade.
Trade Situations Evaluated
| Situation Entry Rule | Signal | Trade Target and Stop | Result |
| Situation-1 Buy > $11,326.25 | TradeColors.com setup that got confirmed in the price move of the next candle | Reward $100 Stop Risk:$100 | Win |
| Situation-2 Buy > $11,452.25 | TradeColors.com setup that got confirmed in the price move of the next candle | Reward $100 Stop Risk:$ 90 | Win |
| Situation-3 | TradeColors.com setup | End of the day signal, no trade | |
| Situation-4 Sell < 11, 516 | TradeColors.com setup that got confirmed in the price move of the next candle | Reward $100 Stop Risk:$ 90 | Win |
In the next example, we share NeverLossTrading Top-Line setups for FaceBook.
FB on the Daily NeverLossTrading Top-Line Chart
NLT Top-Line offers multiple indications, for now, we only concentrate on the price chart.
The price chart highlights, three trade setups, and all came to target:
- The minimum expected price move for FB was $8.11, with an expected return on cash of 3.2%.
- Target and stop are spelled out on a dashboard on the top left on the chart.
- Risk and reward of the setups are evaluated. At the last candle: 1.3 – Favorable, means, for risking $1, you expect a reward of $1.3.
- Uptrends are framed in blue and downtrends in red, where the red line on the chart can be used as a trailing stop.
Experience high probability trading in a live session:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Schedule your consulting hour and consider that we will teach you on all variables needed for long-term trading and investing success.
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited:
Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
What is Needed to be a Trader or Investor?
The answer to the question: What is Needed to be a trader or Investor is easy: Build skill and a knowledge base.
The financial markets are “the” equal opportunity workplace in the world: age, race, gender, religion, pre-education, political beliefs, civil status… do not matter or make a difference.
- You cannot save your way to financial freedom
- Trading has a simple business setup
- Time to market is short
- Trading/investing can be done full-time, part-time, or in addition to other activities. From the comfort of your home or at any place in the world with internet access
- There is no need to convince clients or compete with others for the same idea
- Education and training are readily available
Learn what makes a difference in our free eBook.
“Learn Trading & Investing”… download your free copy.
A step-by-step approach you can follow, focusing on all types of accounts, particularly on your wants and needs.
It is a free download; not even a sign-up is required.
Download your free copy (only available for short)…click.
Unfortunately, 76% of retail investors or private investors lose money.
To learn how to differentiate from the crowd, contact us. We are more than ten years in business, teaching one-on-one, focused on you and your preferences.
Our AI-based, algorithmic trading systems and knowledge helped many traders and investors to be independent today:
Call +1 866 455 4520
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
Have fun reading,
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Invitation to the upcoming Traders and Investors Summit
You are invited to join a club of unique individuals who know what will happen next in the stocks market – and your invitation is for FREE!
Learn how to conquer and take your share from the markets.
Sign up for this unique opportunity… click.
This is a club of unique individuals who know what is going to happen next in the stock market.
It’s not just stocks, but bonds, commodities, energy, precious metals, foreign exchange, and real estate as well.
No, this is not some ivory tower analysis of the state of the world. This is a rare gathering of professionals that will inform you how to make money in the markets TODAY!
Simply register for the Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit starting on Tuesday, December 1st at 8:45 AM EST sharp.
Take advantage of this opportunity to tap 27 of the most brilliant minds in the investment world today. It is a who’s who that will knock your socks off (see below).
Pick up a few of the tips they are offering, and suddenly planning your financial future will graduate from a tedious chore to an enjoyable pastime.
To do so, all you have to do is register for the December Mad Hedge Traders & Investors Summit starting on Tuesday, December 1st at 8:45 AM EST.
These are dedicated pros who can make money in any market conditions, including during a Covid-19 pandemic.
Listening to these speakers will give you the financial security you urgently need.
Best of all, attendance is FREE.
To sign up, please click here!
Thank you!
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Why to learn Trading and Investing (free eBook)
We are ready for Thanksgiving and want to thank you for your interest in what we share and provide.
To help your trading and investing endeavors, please accept our free eBook:
A step-by-step approach you can follow, focusing on all types of accounts, particularly on your wants and needs.
It is a free download; no sign up required.
Download your free copy (only available for short)…click.
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
Happy Thanksgiving and good trading,
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Invitation: Free Trading and Investing Webinar
Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…
They would have FAILED!
Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.
On October 15th, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.
It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.
Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
⇒ Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com ⇐
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Trading and Point of Reference
A correlation measures the strength of a relationship between two quantitative variables, expressed in three results:
- Correlation (the higher, the stronger)
- No correlation (independent happenings)
- Opposite correlation (one happening or variable is counter the happening of the other).
The European financial markets forerun the US market by six hours; hence, we like to spot over the pond for the happening. The strongest correlation we found is between the DAX (German stock market index) and the S&P 500. See why
DAX (red-blue) and S&P 500 Six Months Daily Compared
Even so, the market composition is different; the two indexes develop in a tight relationship.
In NLT Top-Line, we measure the correlation of the price development of assets to the overall market and found that independent happening or uncorrelated price moves often lead to strong results.
The following chart is showing ZM, Zoom video on a weekly NLT Top-Line chart, and we highlight a signal combination that is prone for a strong price breakout:
- Blue buy signal on the price chart: Buy > $295.97
- Purple highlighted volume, an indication for a pre-stage of a breakout
- NLT comparison signal: Up 295.97, showing that the stock is developing stronger than the market.
- Stock independent and not correlated to the stock market
ZM on Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, July – September 20202
This is how you have multiple measures to decide when a trade constellation is on the chart that deserves special attention. Here a short video explaining how to find those opportunites…click.
Those rules are learnable and documented for you. We spend 20-hours of individual training, teaching you those and appropriate risk limited strategies for going to market, and we work with you in a three-month mentorship, reinforcing that the rule we teach stick with you. For more information, we invite you to a personal consulting hour, with no obligation:
+1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
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Stock and Options Trading Alerts
This white paper shows how we combine NeverLossTrading indications and options trading activity for finding and following trading and investing opportunities when they develop intraday.
We are blogging and sharing content for more than ten years, and we helped many traders and investors to produce consistent income from the financial markets.
With our systems and indicators, we are tracking institutional money moves and trade along with those by finding and acting on high probability setups with the goal of ≥ 65% accurate directional prediction.
Let us give you an example of how our systems spell out opportunities on the chart to spot and follow:
AAPL Weekly NLT Top-Line Chart, Feb. to Aug. 2020
Even so, reading and operating with our indicators needs to be learned, the chart demonstrates how our system points out opportunities at key price turning points and along with the price development of the observed asset: in our case AAPL.
For more input on our systems: contact@NeverLossTrading.com
In the NLT Options Trading Alert, we combine NLT indicator readings and options trading activities, highlighting where our systems find significant changes in supply and demand intraday. There is no fixed reporting schedule, the trading day and happening defines when the alerts are generated:
- First reports come out around 10 a.m. ET forward.
- End of the day alerts, around 3 p.m. to 3:30 p.m. ET.
- We only share reports when referring changes in supply and demand are identified. When nothing happens, no alert will be generated and shared.
- An alert based on the end of the day numbers will also be generated and shared.
- Only shares with meaningful option trading conditions are considered (tight bid/ask spreads, minimum volume and open interest requirements we set).
With the NLT systems, we are operating on confirmed signals only: Daily signals, for example, have to be confirmed in the price continuation of the next day.
By combining early indicator readings and options trading activities, we are opening positions without confirmation on the day of occurrence, and we were able to achieve high probability results ≥ 65%.
In summary: The goal of this new alert service is to inform you intraday about happenings: The actual price move of the underlying, combined with the intraday options activity, proposes early entries into developing directional price moves.
Options trading with the right strategies provides:
- Fantastic return opportunities.
- Risk-limited trading: Limiting the trading risk, either to the premium paid, when buying options, or to the width of the spreads, minus the premium received on credit spreads.
We are a big proponent of trading risk-limited only; it builds the basis for every successful trader by preventing drawdowns.
Could you have traded the stock instead of the option on the spelled out opportunities?
Yes, because we traded directional only, and such trading the stock instead of the option would have lead to the same positive results: 72% winners over 28% losing trades.
Before launching this alert service, we tested the NLT Options Trading Alert for three months, with the following results:
- Between June 4 and August 25, 2020, we conducted 69 trades in 58 trading days: 1.2 transactions per day. Of those, 60 positions are closed, and nine are still open.
- Of the 60 closed trades, 43 (72%) were winners and 17-times we lost (28%).
- The average return of the winning trades was 74% of the investment made. The average loss was 65% of the investment made.
- On the first pass, we kept the maximum risk-unit per trade below $500, and such we left put or call buying opportunities for high-value shares like TSLA out, except spread trades allowed to participate with the set risk limit.
In summary: We were winning more often than we lost, and we produced a higher return and lower loss average per trade:
A success principle in which we believe in!
Here is an overview of the stock symbols we traded (options of some of the listed symbols were traded multiple times):
Stock Symbols of the Options Trades Conducted
The listed symbols were not the only trades we conducted; NLT offers multiple alert services from which we choose and execute opportunities for all asset classes: stock, options, futures, and FOREX.
All traded symbols provided substantial daily open interest and volume: an imperative for meaningful options trading.
The average time in a trade was 11 days, with the following distribution:
Average Days in a Trade
About 25% of the trades were adjusted, mostly by rolling positions forward:
- 40% of the losing trades were adjusted
- 12% of the winning trades were adjusted
By producing an average 74% return over a 65% average loss, the adjustment method provided an edge. Options trading adjustment methods are taught at our mentorship programs.
Watch our video about the NLT Options Alert …click
Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan, helping you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.
If you are up for learning this and using the NLT Options Alert, let us get super interactive on multiple levels:
- Level-1: Write us an email that you want to test the end of the day NLT Options Alert to see if you can get value out of it, and it will end up in your inbox at the end of the day or early next day. Subj.: NLT Options Alert Only.
- Level-2: We interact with you and share opportunities we find intraday and at the end of the day. When you are up for this, we want to have content-filled conversations, and such we want to offer this to ten individuals only. For being able to act on the opportunities we share, options trading experience is of help. If you want to learn how to work with our systems, indicators, and strategies, we are happy to help you with one of our mentorship programs (incl. software, teaching, coaching). For being part of Options Level-2, please email us: Subj.: NLT Options Exchange.
No, there is no charge, and no credit card is needed to participate. When you like our service, we will make you an offer, and you decide if you accept it or not. For you to participate, a legit name and email address is needed:
We are looking forward to hearing back from you!
Thomas
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Trading for Predefined Price Moves
As a trader or investor, you want your actions not to be predictable.
Right from our research desk, we show you an example of how to trade for system-defined price moves:
- Limiting risks
- Operating with upside opportunities
- Trading along developing trends and key price turning points
Experience in less than five minutes how this can change your trading:
We hope this catches your interest.
If yes: Let us get super interactive, and we meet with you in a one-on-one meeting online to test how it runs live. We want to have a content filled conversation with you.
No, there is no charge, I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only want twenty individual conversations max.
Schedule your consulting hour:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Sign up for our free trading tips, webinars, and reports…click.
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Short-Term Trading with TradeColors.com
Rule-based trading is what makes the difference between structured and random trading success.
Today, we want to introduce you to our basic algorithmic and rule-based trading system: TradeColors.com
We best show you how it works in a 12-minute video…click.
TradeColors.com is the entry-level system of NeverLossTrading and always allows you to upgrade, acknowledging the tuition paid. We strive to predict directional price moves with a probability ≥ 65%. The returns you strive for depend on the asset class you choose and the frequency of trading:
- Stocks, their options
- Futures
- FOREX
Besides, the trade frequency and the risk association are essential to determine the potential outcome of your trading endeavors.
By a client request, we appraised the performance on the /NQ: E-Mini NASDAQ 100 futures contract, time-based and tick-based:
/NQ on a 2h-TradeColors.com Chart
Following the specifications of TradeColors.com, in a period of 32 trading days (6/19/20 to 8/4/20), the system produced nine trading opportunities: seven winning trades, two losing trades. The average target to strive for was 80 Points, with a point value of $20 = $1,600 per opportunity. Assuming that you traded one contract at a 1:1 relation between risk and reward, the outcome of the trading example would have been:
Projected Outcome: 7 x $1,600 – 2 x $1,600 = $8,000 (actual win rate)
If we assumed a 65% win rate, the expected outcome would be $3,840.
If a risk-unit of $1,600 is outside of your risk tolerance, we can swap to trading the /MNQ (Micro NASDAQ Futures Contract), which scales down the risk unit of one contract to $160. We could also use a different time frame or potentially a transaction-oriented point of view as we do in the following chart:
/NQ on 3,200-tick TradeColors.com Chart
Chart Constellations:
- Average price expansion: 16 Points = $320
- TradeColors.com Opportunities: 7
- Observed Time Frame: 2 Days
- Results: 6 winners, one loss
- Outcome: 6 x $320 – $320 = $1,600 (trading one contract)
Trading in a 4% risk tolerance, based on $25,000 holdings, would allow for trading three contracts, producing $4,800 of income from the trades in two days.
These are the most recent system results, and we cannot guarantee you will achieve the same and make you aware of the risk in trading by our disclaimer (link below).
Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan, helping you to develop yourself into the trader you want to be.
If you are up for learning this, let us get super interactive, and we meet with you in a one-on-one meeting online to test how our systems can help you day trading, swing trading, or longer-term investing.
We want to have a content filled conversation with you, and such we want only to offer this to 20 individuals.
No, there is no charge, I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only wish to take 20 individual conversations max.
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj. TradeColors.com Special.
To sign up for our free trading tips, webinars, and reports….click.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you!
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Invitation: Trading and Investing Webinar
Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…
They would have FAILED!
Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.
On August 12th, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.
It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.
Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
⇒ Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com ⇐
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Longer-Term Trading and Investing
Today, we want to put longer-term trading and Investing in the focus.
- Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan that can help you with any account: 401(k), IRA, Cash, Margin.
- Instead of writing you an extended outline, I figured it would be best to SHOW YOU in a short video (<12 minutes)…click.
We hope this catches your interest.
If yes: Let us get super interactive, and we meet with you in a one-on-one meeting online to test how it runs live. We want to have a content filled conversation with you, and such we want only to offer this to 10 individuals.
No, there is no charge, I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only want ten individual conversations max.
Schedule your consulting hour:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you,
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Algorithmic Trading Concept and Strategy Explained
I’ll keep this short:
- Producing consistent income from trading and investing is a process, and we provide systems, strategies, and a game plan that can help you to develop yourself into the trader/investor, you want to be.
- Instead of writing you an extended outline, I figured it would be best to SHOW YOU in a short video (<12 minutes)…click.
If this is for you, let us get super interactive, and we meet with you online to test how it runs live. We’re only letting 25 people attend.
No, there’s no charge. I just want to make sure it’s GOOD …and the only way that can happen is if you get personal attention. That’s why I only want 25 people on, max.
Schedule your consulting hour:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you,
Thomas
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Invitation: Trading and Investing Webinar
Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…
They would have FAILED!
Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.
On July 2nd, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.
It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.
Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
⇒ Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com ⇐
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Free Trading and Investing Magazine
We like to invite you to read the Traders World Magazine #77 for free.
You will find several articles explaining trading and investing styles. On page 77 forward, we will relate to the question:
Can You Outsmart the Stock Market?
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Stay informed and subscribe to our free reports and webinars.
Good trading,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
The Basis of Trading and Investing Decisions
Receive in a Free eBook, valuable insights into what is needed for being a consistent trader or investor. The difference between a trader and an investor is only in the time of holding a position; the decision-making process is the same.
In our aim of sharing knowledge, we explain:
- Why basing trading or investing decision on applicable statistics is essential.
- How to operate with mechanical rules instead of interpretations.
- See examples of how it can work for you.
Download your eBook here (only available for a short time).
We offer a wide variety of concepts, suited to all trading styles, wants, and needs.
Working one-on-one only, we tailor our concepts to your personal situation and teach at your preferred days and times: programming all indicators and chart setups for you.
If this is for you, contact us for a personal consulting hour:
Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
How to Best Day Trade
Right from our research desk:
How to set yourself apart as a day trader: Apply a high probability trading concept focusing on predefined price ranges instead of trading time-based.
After watching the video and reading the concept:
Can you put intraday price-range-trading in motion on your own, or do you want to apply a market-proven concept?
Aside from day trading, we offer a wide variety of concepts, suited to all trading styles, wants, and needs.
We work one-on-one, and tailor our concepts to your situation, teaching at your preferred days and times: all indicators and chart setups will be programmed for you.
If this is for you, contact us for a personal consulting hour:
Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Free Trading and Investing Webinar
Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…
They would have FAILED!
Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.
On June 3rd, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
Event Start: 12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on 06/03/2020).
Different trading strategies will be shared.
- What’s working in the market right now
- What these top four trading experts are watching
- Current trade ideas, strategies and the most profitable trades in today’s market
It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.
Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
⇒ REGISTER HERE for this Traders Exclusive webinar ⇐
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
Agenda:
12:00 PM to 12:45 PM CT— Thomas Barmann of NeverLossTrading a division of Nobel Living LLC with “Algorithmic Trading for Private Investors”
Rule based trading, right from the chart. Following price moves with multiple strategies. Executing a pre-defined financial and action plan.
12:45 to 1:30 PM CT— Kevin J Davey of KJ Trading Systems with “4 Entries To Get You On The Right Side For Your Next Trade”
Join Kevin as he presents 4 entries that will get your trading moving in the right direction. These entries are a great start for any algo or discretionary trading system you build. Find out how these entries can work for you!
1:30 PM to 2:15 PM CT— Brian McAboy of Inside Out Trading with “The Science of Consistency Applied to Trading”
Consistency doesn’t just happen because you have a clever strategy for getting in and out of the markets. And there’s more to it than simply ‘being disciplined’. In this presentation, you’ll discover the Science of Consistency and how to apply it to your trading to make more money, no matter how you trade, without having to rely on willpower, and without having to switch to a new system.
2:15 PM to 3:00 PM CT— Jared Putnam of Trading Supra with “What To Do When – How to Make Sense of Your Approach for Greater Consistency”
See how adopting 3 simple, pro-level adjustments can transform your confidence and consistency!
***Incredibly, there is no registration fee to attend this event. But, our space on the webinar is limited. So, please be sure to register early and enter the room 10 minutes before the scheduled time (12:00 pm Central Time [1:00 pm Eastern] on 06/03/2020).***
⇒ REGISTER HERE for this Traders Exclusive webinar ⇐
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
How Our Stock Predictions Worked Out
On May 4th, 2020, we published an article highlighting seven trading opportunities that pointed to the upside.
Had you invested along with our indications the following would have happened
- AMZN, no trade, direction not confirmed
- AAPL, a gain of 7.4% in three weeks
- QQQ, gain of 5.4% when trading the stock.
- ABBV, gain of 8.7% when trading the stock.
- OKTA, gain of 21% when trading the stock.
- CIEN, no trade, direction not confirmed.
- GME: No trade, upside direction not confirmed.
Here is a link to the article: 2020 Growth Stocks by NeverLossTrading
Our Questions:
- Did you achieve similar results?
- Do you have a trade finder, providing you with those opportunities?
We take our directional indications from the NeverLossTrading Alerts.
The basis of our directional price indications are algorithms that measure underlying changes in supply and demand. At each signal, we spell out a price threshold and only trade when this price threshold is surpassed in the next candle. This was the case for AAPL, QQQ, ABBV, OKTA, but not for AMZN, CIEN, GME.
Aside from finding trading opportunities, do you operate rule-based, or is success rather a random component in your trading?
We are in the trading and investing education business for more than ten years, helping clients to operate with a system, apply appropriate strategies, manage risk, repair trades, hedge positions, and more.
If you want to be part of this, schedule your personal consultation hour and let us know what you want to achieve to provide you a tailor-made program.
In our years of educating, we did not work with two traders who received the same program.
Why?
Risk tolerance, affinity to instruments, time for trading, and many more variables require one-on-one teaching and education for being able to follow a business plan to trading success.
If this is for you:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you,
Thomas
2020 Growth Stocks by NeverLossTrading
After Berkshire Hathaway Inc. declared horrible earnings last May 2, 2020, our long-term investors asked us about investment opportunities in 2020.
Trading the markets day-by-day, we are wondering about the hype of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Comparing BRK/B to SPY shows, from the end of December 2019 to May 1, 2020, BRK/B was underperforming the SPY (ETF of the S&P 500 Index).
SPY Compared to BRK/B on a Daily Chart, December 2019 to May 1, 2020
So why would you want to put your money where the fund manager cannot outperform the index?
In essence, learn to trade and invests with a high probability system, then you have the chance to outperform the index. The choice is yours!
Helping our clients to find future investment opportunities, we put together a list of prospects, while on today’s basis, market conditions are pre-mature to invest in those. However, a good investor is prepared when the right conditions arrive.
Following the NeverLossTrading principles, we want a confirmed trading signal on either a daily, weekly, or monthly basis. Then and only then will we be ready to take a position.
Another question we were asked: If one does not want to invest in one single stock but rather into a family of the same shares through one type of investment, which ETF would we choose?
Making it simple, we put our opinion into the following table:
For the week fo May 4, 2020, our NLT Alerts spelled out multiple short opportunities too, and we are ready to act, condition to confirmed signals.
By the NLT principle, we will only trade when other market participants react to the observed change in supply or demand, by driving the price to the level of our pre-spelled out price threshold. When this happens, buy-stop or sell-stop orders will be executed, and our offer goes to an exchange or limit orders in case of working with options.
We invite you to a free week of our alters, with no obligation:
Just write us an email with the Subj: Free NLT Stock Alert, include a legit name, and you will find the NLT Stock Alerts in your inbox.
All our decisions are chart based, where price thresholds spell out the opportunity for you.
AAPL Monthly NLT Top-Line Chart: October 2017 to April 2020
You see five highlighted situations that we analyzed:
Watch the video for further details and examples…click.
Trade as mechanical as possible with clear cut rules.
For getting those charts and learning to participate in such opportunities:
Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.
Good trading!
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Invitation: Trading and Investing Webinar
Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading here…
I just have one quick question for you…
Do you know the one thing that’s holding your trading back?
93% of successful professional traders have said that without
learning the tools they needed from other traders…
They would have FAILED!
Let me provide you with a wealth of trading knowledge, we want to share.
On July 2nd, I am taking part in a 4 speakers Trading Educator Forum.
It’s all online so you can join in from the comfort of your own home or office.
Different trading strategies will be shared. We for example demonstrate how to short-term and long term trade, rule-based in times of high volatility.
It’s also 100% Free, and recorded so make sure you click the link below to
attend (or if you can’t make it) add this amazing event to your personal trading library.
Join me, and let’s take our trading to the next level.
Link is not working yet: sorry… will take a moment to repair!
⇒ Click Here to instantly register for InvestorExpos.com ⇐
By clicking this link you will automatically be registered to attend the event!
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Short-Term Trading Concept Continued
We just introduced a short-term trading concept with the E-Mini S&P Futures and the E-Micro S&P Futures: Read it with the following link…click.
We have an environment where nine of the twelve federal reserve banks announced to buy stocks.
They sure operate in cycles and buy when it is favorable.
Our indicators paint those cycles on the chart for you to follow:
S&P Micro Futures Contract 20-Minute Chart, March 24 – Early March 25, 2020
What would it do to your trading, if you were able to spot and follow those market swings:
With our concept, we only buy or sell when the spelled out price threshold is surpassed in the next candle, and we trade for a maximum price move of 2-SPU’s (Speed Units). You find the trading distance market on the chart an in the top left corner of the chart.
This concept surely works on other time frames.
Following the NeverLossTrading concept, all trades shall follow pre-defined rules and be based on high probability indications: ≥ 65%. In addition, we want to trade with limited risk and balance the risk with on the basis of your account holdings.
You also find a short video integrated, explaining the details of the trade and the concept we follow.
For adding what we share today into your knowledge and skillset, schedule your personal consulting hour:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Disclaimer, Terms and Conditions, Privacy | Customer Support
Trading and Investing Knowledge is the New Currency
Regardless if you hold a 401(k), IRA, Cash, or Margin Account, the time is now for giving yourself the ability to trade or invest in the new market environment.
What has changed?
We were in a long-term, eleven years uptrend, and this is now changing.
Those who are prepared for the change can reap the benefits; those who are not will face financial challenges.
We are in the information age, and knowledge is paying you.
- Buy and hold is over.
- What happens when the recession comes?
Let us share in a short eBook what is needed as a trader or investor to succeed long-term.
The terms trading and investing are taken synonymously, only differing in the time you want to hold a position: preparation and behavior are the same.
With all the make money quick emails around, you might be a skeptic; but what is your risk in reading a short eBook… and it is for free, but only for short?
Get yourself a competitive edge and gain knowledge with our free eBook.
Take our offer and download your free 22-pages eBook.
For getting those key determining success factors into your knowledge and skillset, schedule your personal consulting hour:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We offer multiple systems and will find out what suits you best. By working one-on-one, spots are extremely limited.
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
NeverLossTrading
A division of Nobel Living, LLC
401 E. Las Olas Blvd., Suite 1400
Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301
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Trading & Investing Success 2020
TWO EXPERT TRADERS ONE SPECIAL NIGHT!
Join Wally Olopade (RightSideTrading) along with Thomas Barmann (NeverLossTrading) on a LIVE webinar and experience how they find and execute trades at specific and repeatable setups.
Join on Thursday, February 20, 2020.
The webinar starts at 4:30 AM to 6:30 PM Eastern/New York Time.
The best part is IT’S ABSOLUTELY FREE to attend!
All you need is a computer and internet access to watch but you can also listen by phone.
This is what you will experience:
CANDLESTICK TRADING TODAY
by Wally Olopade ‘Right Side Trading’
FEBRUARY 20, 2020 | 4:30-5:30 PM ET
- Simple Tips To Help You Improve Candlestick Analysis
- Why individual traders need a different approach to trading than professionals
- How to make money on the Right Side of the chart, not in hindsight
- Signs you should be getting into a trade when others are jumping out.
A Concept for Trading and Investing Success
by Thomas Barmann ‘NeverLossTrading’
FEBRUARY 20, 2020 | 5:30-6:30 PM ET
- Goal Setting
- System Base
- Trade Finder
- Action Plan
- Financial Plan
Click Here to Register for the Free Webinar
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
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Why Most Traders Fail
To help traders worldwide to perform in the financial markets, we just held a presentation on the key pitfalls for trading/investing and how to get around those.
For those of you, who were not able to participate in our presentation, we now put a written concept together, highlighting the key takeaways: rule-based trading and investing and how to follow pre-defined action steps…
Download your copy of Why Most Traders Fail and how to prevent this….click.
For helping you to shorten your fairway to success, we would like to extend a personal consulting hour to you.
Teaching one-on-one, spots are limited, so do not miss out!
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.
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New Book: Integrated Trading and Investing System
We want to invite you into the world of rule based trading and put together a guideline to algorithmic based trading and investing.
Regardless if you want to trade for a living, manage your retirement accounts, build wealth, you need a solid knowledge base to enjoy financial market success.
This book describes the fundamentals needed to trade today’s markets, regardless if you favor stocks, options, futures, or FOREX and if the markets go up, down or move sideways. There is a certain amount of complexity to consider when operating in the financial markets; else, it would be easy to make money, and we want to help you with a concept to de-complex the happening. In many detailed examples and graphics, you will be supported for establishing what is needed to participate in the financial markets our days.
The physical and kindle formatted book is available at Amazon…click.
Learn the concepts and decide if you want to establish them on your own or trust into a market-proven system and concept
It will be eye-opening for you regardless of the stage of a trader or investor you are: You will learn in 16 chapters how to select the right assets by specified setups, position size, define your entries, exits, stops, stay engaged, and strive for continuous returns.
As a purchaser of this book, you are welcome to join our NeverLossTrading community (we are ten years in business) and getting the price of this book discounted from an educational contract or on a subscription to our NLT Alerts.
Successful traders or investors follow a system, where multiple components are working in their favor. System integration is defined as the process of bringing together component subsystems into one system; ensuring that the subsystems function together as one system. Let us give you a short overview in a graphic, and you will find references to the sub-system in the continuation of the book:
Graphic: Sub-Systems and System Integration
Learn the concepts and decide if you want to establish them on your own or trust into a market-proven system and concept. Link to Amazon…click.
In summary: an integrated trading system includes and considers all components needed for successful trading/investing and helps you to act on clearly defined rules. As mechanical as possible: giving you at pre-defined chart setups the entries, exits, and stops; allowing you to evaluate every trade situation to decide if you accept a trade based on your set conditions or not.
Connecting you with a real-trading-world of today, we introduce you to the principles, methods, and strategies of Spotting and Following Institutional Money Moves by applying Activity-Based Algorithmic Trading and Investing Techniques.
Trading/Investing is a professional business; professionals are prepared.
With this book, we give you a comprehensive overview and systematic to follow to prepare for your future trading and investing endeavors.
To demonstrate what we express, please find a multitude of graphics contained.
We want to invite you to establish key principles and being prepared to reach the behavior, attitude, and systematics of a successful market investor.
For helping you to shorten your fairway to success, we would like to extend a special offer to you: Schedule a personal consulting hour, where you can call the symbols and time frames, and we jointly add up the good and bad trades.
Teaching one-on-one, spots are limited, so do not miss out!
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
Subscribe to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.
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Free Trading Magazine
We like to invite you to read the Traders World Magazine #72 for free, by clicking this link.
You will find several articles explaining trading and investing styles. On page 49 forward, we are explaining the Key Principles of Trading and Investing Success.
In our constant effort to increase your knowledge and skill base as a trader or investor, we are currently working on finishing a new book and will release it soon.
For questions:
Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
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IRA Trading and Investing Strategies
As an IRA holder, you have two choices:
- Invest your money on your own.
- Rely on a money manager.
In a short overview, this is what you can expect from a money manager and from you as a private investor:
Goals of IRA’s with Money Managers and as a Self-Investor
Instruments Needed to Beat Money Managers Index Performance
- Operate with a high probability trading system that is able to highlight institutional engagement on the chart: A change in supply and demand is measurable as a pre-stage for a potential future price move. Aim for a predictability ≥ 65%.
- To prevent drawdowns, apply a hedging strategy: In 2008, the stock market dropped 50% in a matter of months; hence, you are in need of a hedging strategy, which protects you even overnight, when the stock markets are closed, letting you find sound sleep – IRA managers do not offer such!
- Find assets with up- and downside price move potentials (trade finder): Invest where prices move (even in an IRA).
- Instead of taking a stop-loss, repair your trade: Imagine you trade 100 times per year, with a one dollar reward and a one dollar risk per trade. When you win 65 and lose 35 trades, your balance is $40. By applying methods of trade repair, you have a high chance to reduce the average loss to 40% of the originally planned loss (and you can do better). Applying our method of trade repair will then increase your gains by $21, giving you a potential for a 53% increase on your return. How does that sound?
- Leverage strategies: Build up your opportunities when they matter: Add to your winners and harvest big and keep the losers small – your key principle of trading and investing success.
Contact us for a personal consulting hour where we can show you how our systems and education modules work: We are in business since 2008 and work one-on-one with our clients to build all mentioned elements and more to a guideline for trading and investing success. Today, we offer you two choices:
- Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com
- Enter your email address in the following link and receive a written guideline, putting together the key principles of IRA trading and investing success….click.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
If you are not already subscribed to our free trading tips, reports, and webinars…sign up here.
Best regards,
Thomas Barmann
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Performance Measures for Trading Systems
How to measure and compare the performance of trading systems?
Read on and watch the video…click.
We choose three different appraisal methods with a focus on day trading and swing trading:
- Return on Investment (ROI)
- Payback Time
- Value-Based Analysis
Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure that tells you as a percentage the return/gain from your invested capital.
ROI = Profit / (Invested Capital)
The ratio stands for the interest you obtain from your invested capital. In the past, investment ROI was compared to the bank’s interest rate. Meanwhile, the interest rate dwells around zero and such; to get a return on your money, lending it to a bank will not produce a desirable return. Only the financial markets or starting your own business is allowing you to make a meaningful ROI.
As a trader or financial market investor, you are putting your capital at risk. Operating with a high probability decision-making tool is critical.
Let me briefly express why:
Imagine a bag of marbles with 20 marbles inside, and you have either 13 winning marbles in one bag and 11 winning marbles in the other. When you play for ten draws within putting the drawn marble back and calculate the expected results, you see that the bag with 11 winning marbles only has a 50% expectation for winning six or more times at ten draws, while the bag with 13 marbles gives you a 75% chance to win more than six times out of ten draws (calculation based on the Bernoulli experiment).
Conclusion: Only when you operate with a system ≥ 65% probability of winning will you have a chance of making a return from your investment’s long-term.
When it is such simple, why are most retail traders not use such a system?
There is more than one answer:
- Many different systems are offered, and most beginning traders go with a low-budget system and do not consider what losing money to the markets costs them. Unfortunately, 76% of the retail traders that are trading short-term lose money. Fifty percent lose everything in the first six months.
- Only a couple of instances were validated to check on the system’s performance, and not at least 100 hardcoded situations with clearly defined entries, exits, and stops: adding up the winners and losers to evaluate the system probability.
- Trades are not decided by numbers, instead of by emotions and beliefs, contributing to 76% of the retail traders losing money.
- After three losses, traders hop to the next low-budget system, following unrealistic and exaggerated return potentials.
- Traders take a gambling approach, with exaggerated risk-taking, instead of applying risk-limiting strategies.
In essence, when operating with a low probability system, a negative return can be expected longer-term.
How to appraise the obtainable ROI when investing in a high probability system and strategy?
By the Payback Time!
The payback period refers to the time it takes to recover the cost of an investment. In lament terms: The payback period is the length of time an investment reaches a breakeven point. The shorter the payback, the more desirable the investment.
When you buy a new machine and its payback period is below 12 months in the industry, it produces a swift and desirable payback period.
We could also do a value-based analysis to compare systems. The number of trades produced in the same period, the price change to trade for, and the probability of success determine the two systems’ value.
The calculation shows that the higher probability system with more trades produced, trading for more significant price changes, produces three times higher value.
How would this calculate for a 55% system?
When you consider that the likelihood of making money with such a system is random, calculating a value for something where no return is expected is only academic.
Let us share our newest algorithmic trading strategy: NeverLossTrading Timeless Concept.
Why timeless?
Because time is not a determining factor for the chart’s decision-making: By eliminating time, your entries, stops, and exits will be less predictable. You can catch evolving price moves and trends by the system indicators and strive for short payback periods and potentially infinite returns.
Yes, I understand, infinite sounds not believable, but let me explain through an example:
A trader with a capital of $50,000 invests $10,000 into a system that gives him a 10% Return on Investment per month; when will he reach total payback of his $50,000 starting capital?
$50,000 = 0.1 x $40,000 * X (periods)
Result: 12.5 Months, and afterward, he strives for infinite returns. When considering compounded interest, the payback period shrinks to 8.5 months (check the table below).
Why infinite: ROI = Profit or Gain / (Invested Capital). Set the invested capital to zero, and he is still producing a return; by dividing through zero, the equation has an infinite return as a result.
Day trading is a risk-limiting strategy where you do not expose yourself to potential overnight gaps, and the stop placement of every trade defines the maximum risk you take per trade.
When you trade as a retail trader, the likelihood that an institution accepts the other side of your trade is above 90%. Institutions are prepared to produce a return; however, they have to scale in and out of investments by their sheer investment size while you can open and close entire positions at once: Speed in opening and closing positions gives you an edge. This is precisely part of the NeverLossTrading Timeless Strategy, where you trade multiple times in a developing price move with the manageable quick ins and outs.
The system works for all asset classes and is based on NeverLossTrading Trend Catching.
Let us compare TradeColors.com and NLT Trend Catching on a performance measure:
On TradeColors.com, you trade when a new-two-same-color-candle-direction is confirmed in the price movement of the next candle.
TradeColors.com Crude Oil Timeless Chart
The chart shows four trade situations, each with a target of $0.18 or a price change per contract of $180:
- Three winning trades (75%)
- One loss (25%)
- In total: a profit of $290/contract
- Observed time frame: three days (Feb. 10 to 12, 2021)
- Winning three out of four trades was in spec. > 65%
- Price Move Approximation: $0.18 (average)
- Max Price Move Approximation: $0.26
The system works on time-based setups too. We focus here on catching price developments without considering time.
All our concepts are taught one-on-one with a focus on your specific wants and needs.
In the next step, we check the NLT Trend Catching concept performance, where you will see that we trade for a further out target and more frequently.
NLT Timeless Trend Catching Chart for Crude Oil Futures
Ten confirmed trade situations along with the price development of the underlying. Here we trade for a price change of $0.24 or a value change per contract of $240:
- Eight winning trades (80%)
- Two losing trades (20%)
- In total: a profit of $1400/contract
- Observed time frame: three days (Feb. 10 to 12, 2021)
When we now consider the investment on our published system prices and divide it by the tree-day-performance, you see the following:
- TradeColors.com: $2,647 / $290 = 9.1
- NLT Trend Catching: $6,997 / 1400 = 5.0
The calculation shows that the higher value system gives you a two times faster payback on your investment by a five times higher return in the observed three-day period. Our calculations are based on one contract. Within an increased number of contracts traded, NLT Trend Catching pays back even faster.
Let us make a quick comparison on the Emini S&P 500 Index:
NLT Timeless Trend Catching E-Mini S&P 500 Futures
In the observed three days, we had:
- Nine winning trades (90%), each for 7.5 points
- One loss for 8.25 points
- A gain of 59.25 points or $2,962.50/contract
On a quick comparison: TradeColors.com produced:
- Five winning trades for 6.5 points each: 32.5 points
- Two losses, 8 points each: 16 points
- A gain of $16.5 or $825/contract
In this example, NLT Trend Catching produced a 3.5-times higher value than TradeColors.com in three days.
TradeColors.com is a high probability system on the NLT Timeless concept. It is particularly suited for holders of smaller trading accounts, always allowing them to upgrade later to NLT Trend Catching by just paying the difference in the two systems’ cost.
TradeColors.com Timeless E-Mini S&P 500 Futures
NLT Timeless trading is a new high probability trading concept that shall help particular day traders participating multiple times in developing directional price moves of underlying securities.
The goal is to strive for constant income or low-risk, high reward setups. We exclusively teach one-on-one to a small audience of traders. Hence, this is for serious traders and investors only.
If trading or investing were easy tasks, nobody would ever go to work. The positive news, it is learnable.
As a trader or investor, you want your actions not to be predictable but straightforward and mechanical.
We want to show you how to reduce your decision-making base to a minimum with a simple trading concept based on our indicators.
The complexity of trading and investing comes from a five-dimensional decision-making basis:
Five Dimensions of Decision Making in Trading
- Entry Conditions: When to trade/Invest and probability
- Exit Condition: When is the target reached
- Stop Condition: When are you wrong and exit
- Risk Management: Relation of (Entry – Exit) / (Entry – Stop)
- Time: For how long to stay in a trade
With the NLT Timeless Trade and our concepts, the system will spell out mechanical rules for entry, exit, stop, and risk/reward, eliminating time as a decision-making variable.
The indicated opportunities and the results speak for themselves.
Learn how to operate with mechanical trading decisions in all of your accounts, covering the topics laid out in the following chart:
NLT Learning Program Overview
Yes, we ask for an investment, but please consider: It is a one-time payment, and you own the system for a lifetime with no further dues. If you follow trading instructions, somebody is calling out for you, and the service goes away, your potential source of income dries out.
Let us be your guide to a consistent trader and investor and schedule a free consulting session, where you can see live what our systems can do for you:
contact@NeverLossTrading.com Subj: Consulting Hour
Working one-on-one spots are extremely limited: Do not miss out!
For more of our free publications and webinars…sign up here.
We are looking forward to hearing back from you.
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