Trading Pre-Market Price Action

Commonly known, the US-stock market opens at 9:30 a.m. EST; however, at that time, many of the US-Stocks were already traded on a worldwide basis and new price points were established.

With the help of our Indicators, you can see and act on the pre-market action right from your chart.

Please watch our featured video to experience how this can work for Trading Pre-Market Price Action

FirstFrame

Today, we feature how you can participate in the pre-market price action with NeverLossTrading Top-Line.

The trade we feature is only a very little part of what you will learn in 20-hours of individual training. If you feel this or a different mentorship we offer is right for you, schedule a feel online meeting with us:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already part of our free trading tips, webinars and alerts…sign up here.

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August 25, 2016 at 7:52 am Leave a comment

High Productivity Trading

How often can you participate in directional trades with your trading system?

We offer multiple systems that all can be combined with each other; helping our traders to achieve a higher participation rate and thus a higher productivity and return expectation.

Please watch our featured video to experience how this can work for you…click

Combined NLT Systems

We offer multiple systems that help you to decide from the action of NOW, what most likely will happen in the future.

Take a look at our offering and let us know which system you feel suits your needs best: Every system will be tailored to your wants and needs and taught in highly efficient one-on-one sessions, producing a business plan for your trading (financial and action plan).

For an overview of the NeverLossTrading Mentorship Programs…click here

Pick the program, you feel that is right or let us guide you in a free consulting hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already part of our free trading tips, webinars and alerts…sign up here.

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August 23, 2016 at 9:11 am Leave a comment

Trade from Your Chart

Technical analysis is a wonderful tool to find and react on assets with price moves.

Experience how you can achieve high predictability and high participation rate by a new form of technical analysis:

Trade from Your Chart Intro

If you like what you see, check out our offering…click.

Let us know which system you find appealing and contact us for a personal consulting hour:

Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

If you are not already part of our free trading tips, webinars, and reports…sign up here.

Good trading,

Thomas

http://NeverLossTrading.com

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August 12, 2016 at 9:50 am Leave a comment

Trading Productivity

Are you seeking to move ahead with your trading or investing efforts?

If yes, read well and take notes about the details of what it takes to improve your results.

Why to take notes?

If mankind could learn by reading an article or a book, why would we need to study subjects for years and still keep very little in us?

Learn how to stack up the prerequisites for trading and investing in your favor.

Productivity, a frequently used word, but what is behind it and how does a productivity measure open up the book with seven seals to trading success?

Trading Productivity

Productivity as a measure helps you to define the status quo of your trading and what it takes to move ahead.

In addition, you can calculate your efficiency ratio: how many trading opportunities are provided and in how many do you participate in and with which results?

With NeverLossTrading, we are offering multiple trading systems; all taught and coached in one-on-one mentorship programs, suited to your wants and needs.

Our internal measurement of the system productivity index is based on all of the System Provided Trade Setups (participation rate) x Average Probability for Success  x Average Reward/Risk-Ratio per Setup.

Chart-1: NeverLossTrading Productivity per System

Productivity Index Comparison of NeverLossTrading Systems

Chart-1 shows a very tiny productivity index value for TradeColors.com; however, please consider that this system beats most other trading systems available and allows you a budget entry into the world of algorithmic trading (see the example of Trader-3, below). By investing into a higher grade mentorship, your participation rate and trade accuracy will increase and thus, your trading productivity. Our flag ship product: NeverLossTrading Top-Line achieves the highest productivity index.

NLT TurnPoint Trading is our latest edition, specifically designed for the more mechanical trader, who does not want to take considerations and rather trades signal-by-signal.

All our systems are modular and can be combined. Many of our clients use more than one system: When the tuition for the first system is paid back, they invest into another system to achieve a higher participation rate and trade accuracy: excelling the productivity index to the next level.

Let us give you a little background, why we publish and measure productivity in trading.

Commonly, productivity is defined as a measure of output per unit of input. In an economic function, input factors are capital and labor.

When we come to trading, capital remains to be one of the input factors; the output is measured by the return on capital per time unit (month, year). Let us now check which additional input factors to consider for a trading productivity measure:

1. The Reliability of Your Trading System: What is the probability of your trading system to produce reliable and repetitive results?

This is where most commonly used systems come short; they barely make it to produce a 50:50 chance and thus, most traders lose money. Your goal is to strive for a reliability >65%; giving you a chance to produce positive results.

2. The Participation Rate: In how many of the possible trading opportunities do you participate in?

When you only trade at a pre-defined chart constellation, how often does it occur and how can you scan for assets that provide you with the desired constellation? Unfortunately, few traders only are prepared for this and constantly know after the fact about an opportunity that was given. This factor is very often neglected and those, who are prepared can participate in a higher amount of opportunities.

3. Average Returns per Trade Based on a Unit of Risk

There is no risk-free trade and you better have a way to calculate how far a price move will reach when you enter a trade, allowing you to bring reward and risk into a predictable balance. By our observations, if you do not want to be constantly stopped by not allowing for a minimum volatility of the price move, your maximum risk per reward unit at entry shall be up to 1.2-times the reward you are trading for. This negative reward/risk balance shall surely not be the case for every trade; however, staying conservative in our calculations, we assume an average 0.9-reward per risk unit, balancing the average risk to reward at 1.11. Some systems promise 1:5 and 1:10 relations; however, in reality, you might be stopped 20-times before you realize a positive directional trade and thus let’s better stay realistic.

Successful trading has a lot to do with managing those relations. In our calculation example, we take four different traders, trading for a 2% return per trade, for a 100-bar period, with a base capital of $10,000.

Trader-1 observes a limited amount of assets and trades by his system with an average positive expectation of a 54%-win rate and turns his capital about 15-times.

Trader-2 observes a limited amount of assets and trades only when a Doji formation is built, which shall give him a 2:1 reward/risk ratio on a 54% probability (we have statistical evidence for this probability). The formation occurs rarely and thus he turns his capital 7-times.

Trader-3 observes a wide number of assets and by his scans or alerts (regularly finds trading opportunities), 25-capital turns are produced, on a 66%-predictability for the trade to commence in the desired direction with a 0.9-reward/risk ratio.

Trader-4 uses a high probability trading system with a predictability of 75% and constantly finds assets to trade by his scanners or alerts; hence, 33-capital turns are produced with a 0.9-reward/risk ratio.

Table-1: Productivity Comparison

Productivity Comparison of Trading Systems

Table-1 shows that Trader-3 produces double the amount of output (return on capital) and Trader-4 even three times the return of Trader-1 or Trader-2.

If you like to simulate with a copy of this Excel table, just send us an email with subject line: Productivity Comparison Table to contact@NeverLossTrading.com

What does that mean to you?

If you are not producing profit or struggle with little profit from trading, consider upgrading to a higher probability trading system, helping you to produce returns from your capital and the amount of hours you are putting in: take a look at our overview site and see which system best suites you…click.

See if there is a system you like and we are happy to give you a live demonstration and guide you what suits your trading needs the best.

Call: +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

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August 6, 2016 at 8:15 am Leave a comment

High Probability Trade Setups for Private Investors

You are interested in trading – and day by day, you are getting between five and 100 offers for systems, concepts, and strategies that shall help you making meaningful decisions in the markets.

This is already, where the trouble starts: the market action is not meaningful; it is random and can best be explained after the fact.

Are you in the markets for making money?

This is usually answered with a yes; however, are you doing or willing to invest into taking a new perspective to get you there?

Find key decision making criteria’s in this detailed report:

Change is the hardest thing for us humans to deal with, except we are forced to do so:

  • System Committed Traders: Many traders commit to one system or systematic and are willing to never produce income but aim to proof that the system is right, because they once believed in it; even so the numbers do not add up (psychology talks about cognitive dissonances). Let me give you a short example: Hammer patterns, Doji’s. If those work with a high probability, I would build an indicator in 30-minutes and let a robot trade it.
  • Entertainment Traders: A good bunch of trading account holders find entertainment in talking about the million facets of the market and what happened and will be happening; still with no or little income production, mostly not even applying the knowledge of hedging a position that gets challenged or leveraging one, when things run the expected direction. Hedging somehow is generally found risky; however, it is the opposite: it balances the risk when you know what to do and turns potential losers into winners. A skill, you should think about possessing, even so you are not constantly trading, but holding asset positions.
  • Single Focused Traders: I only trade the /ES on a 15-minute chart. How about learning how to trade the same on weekly, daily, and on lower time frames, where the congruence from signal to noise is high and you trade a derivative, which allows you to tame your risk in $100 increments, producing multiple streams of trading income. Would that help your trading?
  • Low Budget Drivers: Imagine, you had an airplane and you could obtain your pilot license by watching an online video for $297. In this case, the FAA does not approve; however, when you are trading without knowing what you are doing, you are not a potential hazard to others; you are welcome to lose your money. Think about, if you rather want to invest in some one-on-one lessons from a trade instructor, with a quality education, helping you with a system to participate in the markets at specific entry and exit points?

Now you see that you best learn to consider multiple dimensions to conquer the trading challenges. The key challenge usually starts with the system:

By the actual price pattern of the markets, simple math and standard technical analysis does not give you high probability trade setups.

It is a typical human behavior to categorize the happening of now to something related in the past; however, the future is not a function of the past and this is why standard math in technical analysis never produce high predictability:

It would be too easy when you take two moving average crossings to portray the future happening. Does it work at times? Yes; however, only in a random manner and thus: such methods have no high predictability.

In the models we share, the past does not play a role, the action of now is related to the underlying structure of the markets and extrapolated into the future; transforming the actual market happening into mathematical models that filter signal from noise and interpret the expected price expansion, so you assume at entry how far the expected price expansion might reach with a high probability.

More than 95% of all financial market transactions are triggered by institutional orders. They build the underlying structure of the market. Specifically developed filters and a fractal based math lets us specify by the happening of now and what will happen with a high probability in the future.

NeverLossTrading Price Move Model

Price Move Expectation

A fractal is a change in behavior.

How do we look at fractals in the markets?

  • Price Momentum Change, measured as acceleration in the price move of the underlying.
  • Trend Change, measured on a continuation pattern change.
  • Statistical Volatility Change: price moves per observed time unit.
  • Price Move Constellation over time with repetitive patterns.
  • Volume Momentum Change in the observed time frames, similar but measured differently to price momentum change.

We offer multiple systems that help you to decide from the action of NOW, what most likely will happen in the future.

Our base model is called TradeColors.com. The trade entry follows the pricing model shown above and a trade initiation is given when two newly painted same color candles appear on the chart.

  • You trade to the upside when two-new-blue-candles are painted and the price development of the next candle takes out the prior high of the second blue candle.
  • You trade to the downside when two-new-red-candles are painted and the price development of the next candle takes out the prior low of the second red candle.

Stock market indexes are usually the hardest to predict, so let us take the challenge:

TradeColors.com on S&P 500 Index Futures Contract May – July 15, 2016

ES Daily Chart May to July 2016

The above chart shows how our system is helping you in finding key entry points to go with the direction the market is moving to. Besides that the system will tell you bar-by-bar the expected price expansion, you will learn to exit your trade after a specified number of same color bars.

In case you are not ready to accept the risk associated with trading a futures contract on a daily chart, we show you in our mentorships, how you can trade derivatives of the S&P 500, with about $100-increments of risk. You will even learn how to trade those situations without the constant need for a stop-loss, without increasing you risk: Never Stop Loss Trading, however we found this name a bit lengthy.

In our more advanced systems, we spell out specific entry points, helping you to work with buy-stop- or sell-stop orders, directly from the chart, giving you more trading opportunities and by this a higher productivity and performance rate (NLT TurnPoint Trading is not published for all audiences).

NeverLossTrading TurnPoint on S&P 500 Index Futures Contract May – July 15, 2016

ES Daily May - July 2016 TurnPoint

You see on the chart, how eleven trading opportunities that followed our price move model occurred and the win rate in this example just speaks for itself 11:1.  The chart shows price chart and lower indicator proposed trade situations. We take profit either at the dot on the chart or after a pre-specified number of candles.

The teaching of the systems is always one-on-one. If you start with TradeColors.com your paid tuition will be discounted on a potential upgrade. Our software is installed on a server and has access to real time date without monthly fees; so it is there, even when you buy a new computer.

For a live demo: Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

By using a fractal based math, our systems replicate trade situations on all desired time frames, ticks or range bars.

Thus, we took the most actual 1-hour /ES chart into the US-market opening on July 15, 2016 and see that the system produced four trade potentials in the pre-market session: midnight EST to 9:00 a.m. EST and all came to target (dot on the chart).

Signals that were not confirmed by the next candle not surpassing the spelled out price threshold did not produce trade conditions.

NeverLossTrading TurnPoint on S&P 500 Index Futures Contract July 15, 2016 (1-Hour)

ES Hourly Chart July 15, 2016

Aside from learning to trade with the system, we will work on a business plan for your trading with you that shall give you an idea of expected returns per capital invested, with the aim of producing multiple streams of income and we also work with you on an action plan, so you know at each point of time what to do and how to operate in the markets.

By teaching one-on-one, our capacities are limited and we are currently open for new students, so do not miss out.

For a live demo: Call +1 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com

We are looking forward to hearing back from you,

Thomas

NeverLossTrading

A division of Nobel Living, LLC

401 E. Las Olas Blvd. Suite 1400

Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301

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July 16, 2016 at 9:00 am Leave a comment

Introduction to Algorithmic Trading: TradeColors.com

This morning, we had a request from a potential client, who wanted to see trade situations in the last couple of days on TradeColors.com for Crude Oil Futures, on client preferred time frames: 1-hour, 20-minutes, and 5-minutes.

Hence, we put together a series of charts, highlighted algorithmic based trade setups with orange rectangles and the results were pretty impressive for our basic system and this might make a difference for you:

Crude Oil Futures, 1-Hour Chart, July 4 – 7, 2016

Peter Crude 1-Hour

Trade Entry is when the low of a new two-red-candle sequence is taken out by the next candle or when the high of a new blue candle sequence is taken out by the next candle.

This way you can operate with sell- or buy-stops and your order will only be filled if the price direction assumed is confirmed.

Orange rectangles specify new two-candle-setups

Bar-by-bar the system calculates the minimum expected price expansion of a trade at entry and you have two choices:

  • Momentum trade: you exit at when the specified price expansion is reached.
  • Trend trade: you trail your stop.

The highlighted chart situations refer to the momentum trade where we enter for a pre-specified price move and exit at target. Highlighted are only directional confirmed setups.

All details will be taught in individual training sessions, each is recorded.

In addition there is an 60 page document explaining the details of the system and individual trade situations.

Crude Oil Futures 20-Minute Chart, July 5 and July 6, 2016

Peter Crude 20-Minutes

Crude Oil Futures 5-Minutes, July 6, 2016

Peter  Crude Oil 5 Minutes

If you feel this could be a start for you into the world of high probability trading, call us at 866 455 4520 or contact@NeverLossTrading.com for a live demonstration.

We are looking forward to hearing back from you

http://NeverLossTrading.com

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July 7, 2016 at 10:04 am Leave a comment

Free Webinar: Multiple Streams of Trading Income

Multiple Streams of Trading Income

You are invited to our Free Webinar:

This Tuesday, June 28th, at 4:30 p.m. EST, we feature “Multiple Streams of Trading Income” presented by Thomas Barmann from NeverLossTrading

TO REGISTER NOW, Click Here

Day trading has one beauty: You are not exposed to any overnight risk; however, you also do not participate in potential favorable and predictable price breakouts on higher time frames.

Commodities like crude Oil have weekly decision making points (once a week inventories are reported on a worldwide basis), where institutions decide to buy or sell by investing in futures or the spots of the commodities.

Crude Oil Futures on a Weekly Chart with Highlighted Confirmed Trade Signals

Crude Oil Weekly Chart June 2016 Trades Highlighted

Circled-in are confirmed price moves:

  • The next candle surpassed the low of a selling opportunity.
  • The next candle surpassed the high of a buying opportunity.
  • Dots on the chart are calculated price exit points, with the assumption that those are reached in 1-4 bars.

When you are familiar with Crude Oil Futures, you might immediately reply: I am not ready to take the necessary risk associated with entry to stop, to participate in such trade: here, about $3,600 per contract.

How to solve this issue?

We teach you in our mentorship how you can trade derivatives of Crude Oil and participate in $50 risk increments by trading the pre-dominant longer-term price direction.

Why would you even want to make multiple streams of income?

With limited capital exposure you can:

  • Produce weekly income with limited risk.
  • Produce multiday income from swing trades.
  • 4-hour income from short-term trades.
  • Day trading for fast returns.

All without the need to control every trade: Entry and exit can be pre-programmed.

Why should this work?

NeverLossTrading systems are fractal based and repeat their strong signal on all time frames, tick bases, or range bars.

This allows you to apply every system on lower and higher time frames, achieving a higher participation rate without the need to control every trade as a day trader.

What we share counts for multiple asset classes: Stocks, Commodities, Treasuries, Currencies.

TO REGISTER NOW, Click Here

Even if you cannot attend, we welcome you to visit www.NeverLossTrading.com and sign up for a FREE Consulting Hour.

Please Email: contact@neverlosstrading.com or call +1.866.455.4520 if you have any questions prior to the session. We look forward to seeing you ALL there Tuesday afternoon at Online Trader Central!

 

 

June 25, 2016 at 10:44 am Leave a comment

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